Neighborhood · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally

Harvard Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Springfield

Tract 17167002700 · Sangamon County, IL · pop 3,153 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Census tract 17167002700 covers part of the Harvard Park area of Springfield, IL, and scores 4.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 2.5/10.

Risk score

4.5

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 28% Owners 58%

Tract context

Occupied units1,549

Renter share42.0%

SVI overall0.59

Poverty rate11.9%

Median income$57,426

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Springfield and the region

Centroid at 39.7540, -89.6459 · click any tract to drill in

Why Harvard Park scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Springfield

5.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.8

State political climate

Illinois legislature & governorship

5.2

Economic stress

11.9% poverty · this tract

3.0

Supply constraint

$937 rent vs county FMR

3.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Springfield

2.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Springfield

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Springfield

4.0

How Harvard Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 59

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

58%Socioeconomic
53%Household composition
23%Racial/ethnic minority
68%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
11%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Harvard Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

14.0%Housing insecurity
9.2%Utility-shutoff threat
17.9%Food insecurity
18.4%SNAP enrollment
9.4%Transit barriers
9.3%No health insurance
19.0%Frequent mental distress
33.4%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Harvard Park

Severe burden reaches 14%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 3/10. Cost burden runs 34% here against 38.5% across Sangamon County.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. On the national scale it lands near the 51st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. The legal-climate inputs (statute speed, court posture, rent-regulation exposure) come from Springfield eviction risk as a whole. Only the economic and supply signals are measured inside this tract.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.3/10. It tracks the Sangamon County average of 4.2 closely.

Average gross rent is $937, close to the Springfield average. Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $57,426. 42% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 17167002700

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17167002700?

Census tract 17167002700 in the Harvard Park neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 17167002700?

Median gross rent is $937/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 17167002700?

11.9% of residents in tract 17167002700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,153.

How socially vulnerable is tract 17167002700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 59th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 58th, household 53th, minority 23th, housing 68th.

Is tract 17167002700 considered part of Harvard Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17167002700 fall within Harvard Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 17167002700 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 17167002700 compare to Springfield overall?

Tract 17167002700 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Springfield at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Springfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 17167002700 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 11% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Springfield

Top eight tracts in Springfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.