Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally

Harvard Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Springfield

Tract 17167002600 · Sangamon County, IL · pop 2,873 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Tract 17167002600 sits in the Harvard Park area of Springfield eviction risk, IL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.6/10. Against Sangamon County at 38.5%, 16% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score

4.6

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 27% Owners 68%

Tract context

Occupied units1,546

Renter share32.4%

SVI overall0.44

Poverty rate9.0%

Median income$43,397

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Springfield and the region

Centroid at 39.7699, -89.6413 · click any tract to drill in

Why Harvard Park scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Springfield

5.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.8

State political climate

Illinois legislature & governorship

5.2

Economic stress

9.0% poverty · this tract

2.2

Supply constraint

$973 rent vs county FMR

3.6

Rent control risk

Inherited from Springfield

2.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Springfield

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Springfield

4.0

How Harvard Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 44

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

24%Socioeconomic
66%Household composition
44%Racial/ethnic minority
60%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
23%Grade B
12%Grade C
11%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Harvard Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

14.6%Housing insecurity
9.4%Utility-shutoff threat
16.8%Food insecurity
16.4%SNAP enrollment
9.0%Transit barriers
8.5%No health insurance
18.8%Frequent mental distress
29.8%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Harvard Park

The main counterweight is economic stress at 2.2/10. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 2.5/10.

The severe-burden share is 12%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Springfield. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 53% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

It tracks the Sangamon County average of 4.2 closely. Average gross rent is $973, close to the Springfield average. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $43,397.

32% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 17167002600

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17167002600?

Census tract 17167002600 in the Harvard Park neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 17167002600?

Median gross rent is $973/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 16% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 17167002600?

9.0% of residents in tract 17167002600 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,873.

How socially vulnerable is tract 17167002600?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 44th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 24th, household 66th, minority 44th, housing 60th.

Is tract 17167002600 considered part of Harvard Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17167002600 fall within Harvard Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 17167002600 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 17167002600 compare to Springfield overall?

Tract 17167002600 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Springfield at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Springfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 17167002600 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 11% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Springfield

Top eight tracts in Springfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.