Neighborhood · Ranked #29,578 of 84,120 nationally

Harvard Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Springfield

Tract 17167002200 · Sangamon County, IL · pop 3,452 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Census tract 17167002200 belongs to Harvard Park in Springfield, Illinois. It is home to 3,452 residents and scores 5.3/10, a moderate reading for landlords. On the national scale it ranks #42,121 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

53% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,126 a month against an average household income of $55,417 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. About 28% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

4.7

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 13% Owners 73%

Tract context

Occupied units1,416

Renter share27.5%

SVI overall0.32

Poverty rate17.5%

Median income$55,417

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Springfield and the region

Centroid at 39.7773, -89.6597 · click any tract to drill in

Why Harvard Park scores 4.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Springfield

5.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.8

State political climate

Illinois legislature & governorship

5.2

Economic stress

17.5% poverty · this tract

4.4

Supply constraint

$1,126 rent vs county FMR

4.9

Rent control risk

Inherited from Springfield

2.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Springfield

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Springfield

4.0

How Harvard Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 32

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

67%Socioeconomic
24%Household composition
30%Racial/ethnic minority
11%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

16%Grade A
49%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Harvard Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

13.8%Housing insecurity
9.6%Utility-shutoff threat
17.2%Food insecurity
18.5%SNAP enrollment
9.2%Transit barriers
8.4%No health insurance
18.8%Frequent mental distress
30.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Harvard Park

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 4.9/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Springfield eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Sangamon County average of 4.9 and in line with the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 32nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 13.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 17167002200

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17167002200?

Census tract 17167002200 in the Harvard Park neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 17167002200?

Median gross rent is $1,126/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 17167002200?

17.5% of residents in tract 17167002200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,452.

How socially vulnerable is tract 17167002200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 32th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 67th, household 24th, minority 30th, housing 11th.

Is tract 17167002200 considered part of Harvard Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17167002200 fall within Harvard Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 17167002200 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 17167002200 compare to Springfield overall?

Tract 17167002200 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of Springfield at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Springfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 17167002200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Springfield

Top eight tracts in Springfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.