Within neighborhood
20
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,926 of 84,120 nationally
Edgewater Eviction Risk: Moderate , Rockford
Tract 17201000300 · Winnebago County, IL · pop 3,717 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
With a score of $1/10, tract 17201000300 in the Edgewater area of Rockford ranks in the Elevated tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 3,717 residents. That is riskier than about 75% of US census tracts.
49% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,131 a month while the average household earns $55,439 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. Renters make up 47% of occupied homes.
Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units1,742
Renter share47.5%
SVI overall0.46
Poverty rate22.0%
Median income$55,439
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
80
th percentile
High
Within county
62
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
73
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Rockford and the region
Centroid at 42.3082, -89.0553 · click any tract to drill in
Why Edgewater scores 5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Rockford
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
22.0% poverty · this tract
5.5
Supply constraint
$1,131 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Rockford
4.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Rockford
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Rockford
5.8
How Edgewater compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 46
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 67%Socioeconomic
- 80%Household composition
- 43%Racial/ethnic minority
- 8%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 45%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Edgewater. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 16.6%Housing insecurity
- 11.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 22.4%Food insecurity
- 24.3%SNAP enrollment
- 11.5%Transit barriers
- 10.9%No health insurance
- 21.2%Frequent mental distress
- 37.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Edgewater
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 7.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Rockford eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Winnebago County average of 5.0 and above the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 16.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 11.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 17201000300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17201000300?
Census tract 17201000300 in the Edgewater neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17201000300?
Median gross rent is $1,131/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17201000300?
22.0% of residents in tract 17201000300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,717.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17201000300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 46th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 67th, household 80th, minority 43th, housing 8th.
Q5
Is tract 17201000300 considered part of Edgewater?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17201000300 fall within Edgewater (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 17201000300 struggle to pay rent?
About 16.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 17201000300 compare to Rockford overall?
Tract 17201000300 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Rockford at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Rockford eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 17201000300 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Rockford
Top eight tracts in Rockford ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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