Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #17,132 of 84,120 nationally
Edgewater Eviction Risk: Elevated , Rockford
Tract 17201000300 · Winnebago County, IL · pop 3,717 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
With a score of 6.2/10, tract 17201000300 in the Edgewater area of Loves Park, IL reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,717. 26% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
6.2
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units1,742
Renter share47.5%
SVI overall0.46
Poverty rate22.0%
Median income$55,439
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
80
th percentile
High
Within county
99
th percentile
Very High
Within state
75
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Rockford and the region
Centroid at 42.3082, -89.0553 · click any tract to drill in
Why Edgewater scores 6.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Rockford
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
22.0% poverty · this tract
5.5
Supply constraint
$1,131 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Rockford
4.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Rockford
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Rockford
5.8
How Edgewater compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 46
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 67%Socioeconomic
- 80%Household composition
- 43%Racial/ethnic minority
- 8%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 45%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Edgewater. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 16.6%Housing insecurity
- 11.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 22.4%Food insecurity
- 24.3%SNAP enrollment
- 11.5%Transit barriers
- 10.9%No health insurance
- 21.2%Frequent mental distress
- 37.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Edgewater
Against the Winnebago County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.9 points. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 7.8/10.
The poverty rate is 22%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. SNAP participation runs 24.3% against 15.2% nationally. 49% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Winnebago County average of 44.4%.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 80% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.2/10.
Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
Average gross rent is $1,131, close to the Loves Park average.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 17201000300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17201000300?
Census tract 17201000300 in the Edgewater neighborhood scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17201000300?
Median gross rent is $1,131/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17201000300?
22.0% of residents in tract 17201000300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,717.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17201000300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 46th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 67th, household 80th, minority 43th, housing 8th.
Q5
Is tract 17201000300 considered part of Edgewater?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17201000300 fall within Edgewater (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 17201000300 struggle to pay rent?
About 16.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 17201000300 compare to Rockford overall?
Tract 17201000300 scores 6.2/10, higher than the parent city of Rockford at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Rockford eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 17201000300 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Rockford
Top eight tracts in Rockford ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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