Loves Park Eviction Risk: Elevated

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 7.8/10. Cost burden runs about half here against 44.4% across Winnebago County. The poverty rate is 25%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

15% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 3/10. At $940 a month, rents run 16% under what the rest of Loves Park commands.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 82% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 1.4 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $45,521.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.