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Neighborhood · Ranked #28,095 of 84,120 nationally

Edgewater Eviction Risk: Moderate , Rockford

Tract 17201003400 · Winnebago County, IL · pop 4,635 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Tract 17201003400 sits in the Edgewater area of Rockford eviction risk, IL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.3/10. It is home to 4,635 residents. 22% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 26% Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units1,760
Renter share44.5%
SVI overall0.65
Poverty rate22.6%
Median income$52,348

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 6 tracts In Edgewater
Moderate
Within parent city
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#24 of 54 tracts In Rockford
Elevated
Within county
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#29 of 80 tracts In Winnebago County
Elevated
Within state
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#1,346 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Rockford and the region

Centroid at 42.2958, -89.0868 · click any tract to drill in

Why Edgewater scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Rockford
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
22.6% poverty · this tract
5.7
Supply constraint
$1,146 rent vs county FMR
4.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Rockford
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Rockford
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Rockford
3.5

How Edgewater compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Edgewater risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.3This tracttract 0034004.0Rockfordparent city4.3Countyavg tract in county5.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 65

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Edgewater. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Edgewater

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 2/10. The poverty rate is 23%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Food insecurity runs 29.0% against 17.8% nationally.

Against the Winnebago County average of 4.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.0 points. At $1,146 a month, rents run 16% over what the rest of Rockford commands.

On the softer side, tenant-organizing strength reads 3/10. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 15.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Rockford. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. Nationally it ranks #28,095 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Statute speed, court posture and rent-regulation exposure are inherited from Rockford rather than measured on these blocks; the economic and supply components are the tract-level part of the score.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

Rent takes 30% or more of income for 42% of renters.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 17201003400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17201003400?

Census tract 17201003400 in the Edgewater neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17201003400?

Median gross rent is $1,146/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17201003400?

22.6% of residents in tract 17201003400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,635.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17201003400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 65th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 63th, household 88th, minority 64th, housing 34th.
Q5

Is tract 17201003400 considered part of Edgewater?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17201003400 fall within Edgewater (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 17201003400 struggle to pay rent?

About 22.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 17201003400 compare to Rockford overall?

Tract 17201003400 scores 5.3/10, higher than the parent city of Rockford at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Rockford eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 17201003400 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Rockford

Top eight tracts in Rockford ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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