Neighborhood · Ranked #20,889 of 84,120 nationally

Edgewater Eviction Risk: Moderate , Rockford

Tract 17201003604 · Winnebago County, IL · pop 3,101 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 17201003604 (the Edgewater neighborhood of Rockford, Illinois) comes in at 5.1/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than about 43% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 57% of renter households, a severe level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $921 a month while the average household earns $49,896 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. Renters make up 43% of occupied homes.

Risk score

5.3

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 19% Owners 57%

Tract context

Occupied units1,237

Renter share43.2%

SVI overall0.81

Poverty rate21.7%

Median income$49,896

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Rockford and the region

Centroid at 42.3085, -89.0919 · click any tract to drill in

Why Edgewater scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Rockford

4.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.1

State political climate

Illinois legislature & governorship

5.2

Economic stress

21.7% poverty · this tract

5.4

Supply constraint

$921 rent vs county FMR

2.8

Rent control risk

Inherited from Rockford

2.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Rockford

3.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Rockford

3.5

How Edgewater compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 81

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

84%Socioeconomic
91%Household composition
68%Racial/ethnic minority
44%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
19%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Edgewater. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

22.0%Housing insecurity
14.7%Utility-shutoff threat
29.1%Food insecurity
30.4%SNAP enrollment
14.1%Transit barriers
14.6%No health insurance
20.1%Frequent mental distress
40.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Edgewater

The heaviest input here is economic stress at 5.4/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Rockford eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Winnebago County average of 5.0 and below the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 22.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 14.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 81st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 17201003604

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17201003604?

Census tract 17201003604 in the Edgewater neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 17201003604?

Median gross rent is $921/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 17201003604?

21.7% of residents in tract 17201003604 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,101.

How socially vulnerable is tract 17201003604?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 91th, minority 68th, housing 44th.

Is tract 17201003604 considered part of Edgewater?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17201003604 fall within Edgewater (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 17201003604 struggle to pay rent?

About 22.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 17201003604 compare to Rockford overall?

Tract 17201003604 scores 5.3/10, higher than the parent city of Rockford at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Rockford eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 17201003604 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Rockford

Top eight tracts in Rockford ranked by composite eviction-risk score.