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Neighborhood · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally

Horace Mann Eviction Risk: Elevated , Gary

Tract 18089010400 · Lake County, IN · pop 3,247 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Census tract 18089010400 covers part of the Horace Mann area of Gary, IN, and scores 6/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,247 residents. The severe-burden share is 32%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 29% Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units1,129
Renter share47.7%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate23.4%
Median income$35,300

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 5 tracts In Horace Mann
Very High
Within parent city
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 33 tracts In Gary
High
Within county
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#21 of 131 tracts In Lake County
High
Within state
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#23 of 1,693 tracts In Indiana
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Gary and the region

Centroid at 41.6023, -87.3623 · click any tract to drill in

Why Horace Mann scores 6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Gary
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Indiana legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
23.4% poverty · this tract
5.8
Supply constraint
$868 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Gary
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Gary
9.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Gary
8.7

How Horace Mann compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Horace Mann risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.0This tracttract 0104004.6Garyparent city4.4Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 89

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: A: Best

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Horace Mann. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Horace Mann

The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.3/10. Running hot, housing-court posture reads 8.7/10. Food insecurity runs 35.3% against 17.8% nationally.

Against the Lake County average of 4.4, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.6 points. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.2/10.

SNAP participation runs 27.2% against 15.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 23%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Average gross rent is $868, 14% below the Gary average. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground A ("Best"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

On the national scale it lands near the 78th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the IN average is 3.9, so this tract runs 2.1 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 18089010400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 18089010400?

Census tract 18089010400 in the Horace Mann neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 18089010400?

Median gross rent is $868/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 18089010400?

23.4% of residents in tract 18089010400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,247.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 18089010400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 88th, minority 100th, housing 51th.
Q5

Is tract 18089010400 considered part of Horace Mann?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 18089010400 fall within Horace Mann (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 18089010400 struggle to pay rent?

About 25.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 22.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 18089010400 compare to Gary overall?

Tract 18089010400 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Gary at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Gary eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 18089010400 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 1% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Gary

Top eight tracts in Gary ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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