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Neighborhood · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally

Horace Mann Eviction Risk: Elevated , Gary

Tract 18089012800 · Lake County, IN · pop 2,120 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

18089012800 is a census tract in the Horace Mann area of Gary, IN. It scores 6/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,120. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10.

Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 27% Owners 57%
Tract context
Occupied units673
Renter share42.6%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate48.5%
Median income$34,327

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 5 tracts In Horace Mann
Very Low
Within parent city
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#16 of 33 tracts In Gary
Moderate
Within county
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#11 of 131 tracts In Lake County
Very High
Within state
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#23 of 1,693 tracts In Indiana
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Gary and the region

Centroid at 41.5995, -87.3495 · click any tract to drill in

Why Horace Mann scores 6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Gary
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Indiana legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
48.5% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,006 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Gary
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Gary
9.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Gary
8.7

How Horace Mann compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Horace Mann risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.0This tracttract 0128004.6Garyparent city4.4Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 93

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Horace Mann. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Horace Mann

SNAP participation runs 43.7% against 15.2% nationally. The severe-burden share is 33%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The poverty rate is 48%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.3/10. Annualized rent equals 35% of average household income of $34,327, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

On the high side, housing-court posture reads 8.7/10. It sits 1.6 points above the Lake County average of 4.4. Disability prevalence runs 45.2% against 31.5% nationally.

Cost burden runs 37% here against 43.0% across Lake County. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

Nationally it ranks #18,163 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 9.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the IN average is 3.9, so this tract runs 2.1 points hotter.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $1,006, close to the Gary average.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 18089012800

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 18089012800?

Census tract 18089012800 in the Horace Mann neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 18089012800?

Median gross rent is $1,006/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 18089012800?

48.5% of residents in tract 18089012800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,120.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 18089012800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 89th, minority 96th, housing 54th.
Q5

Is tract 18089012800 considered part of Horace Mann?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 18089012800 fall within Horace Mann (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 18089012800 struggle to pay rent?

About 33.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 30.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 18089012800 compare to Gary overall?

Tract 18089012800 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Gary at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Gary eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 18089012800 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Gary

Top eight tracts in Gary ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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