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Neighborhood · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally

Tarrytown Eviction Risk: Elevated , Gary

Tract 18089041200 · Lake County, IN · pop 2,431 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi

Tract 18089041200 sits in the Tarrytown area of Gary eviction risk, IN, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6/10. Population here is 2,431. 31% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 23% Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units1,066
Renter share38.6%
SVI overall0.71
Poverty rate28.5%
Median income$47,844

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Tarrytown
Very Low
Within parent city
34 th percentile
Rank, 34th percentileLowHigh
#22 of 33 tracts In Gary
Low
Within county
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#13 of 131 tracts In Lake County
Very High
Within state
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#23 of 1,693 tracts In Indiana
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Gary and the region

Centroid at 41.5598, -87.3844 · click any tract to drill in

Why Tarrytown scores 6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Gary
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Indiana legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
28.5% poverty · this tract
7.1
Supply constraint
$850 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Gary
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Gary
9.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Gary
8.7

How Tarrytown compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Tarrytown risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.0This tracttract 0412004.6Garyparent city4.4Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 71

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Tarrytown. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Tarrytown

What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.3/10. Running hot, housing-court posture reads 8.7/10. The poverty rate is 29%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

It sits 1.6 points above the Lake County average of 4.4. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.2/10. SNAP participation runs 25.7% against 15.2% nationally.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 18.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. At $850 a month, rents run 16% under what the rest of Gary commands.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 78% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 7.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the IN average is 3.9, so this tract runs 2.1 points hotter. 42% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $47,844.

39% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 18089041200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 18089041200?

Census tract 18089041200 in the Tarrytown neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 18089041200?

Median gross rent is $850/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 18089041200?

28.5% of residents in tract 18089041200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,431.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 18089041200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 58th, minority 50th, housing 69th.
Q5

Is tract 18089041200 considered part of Tarrytown?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 18089041200 fall within Tarrytown (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 18089041200 struggle to pay rent?

About 20.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 18.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 18089041200 compare to Gary overall?

Tract 18089041200 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Gary at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Gary eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 18089041200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 5% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Gary

Top eight tracts in Gary ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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