Tarrytown Eviction Risk: Elevated , Gary

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 9.7/10. The poverty rate is 39%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.3/10.

The severe-burden share is 26%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Annualized rent equals 32% of average household income of $34,925, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Running hot, housing-court posture reads 8.7/10. It sits 1.6 points above the Lake County average of 4.4.

Disability prevalence runs 44.8% against 31.5% nationally. Against Lake County at 43.0%, 37% of renters here are cost-burdened. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Lake Co. Gary. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

On the national scale it lands near the 78th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 7.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.