Neighborhood · Ranked #9,878 of 84,120 nationally

Manville Heights Eviction Risk: Elevated , Iowa City

Tract 19103001601 · Johnson County, IA · pop 4,484 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

In the Manville Heights neighborhood of Iowa City, census tract 19103001601 scores 5.5/10 for eviction risk. It lands near the 57th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

83% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 55% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,056 a month against an average household income of $18,159 a year, roughly 70% of income at the averages. Renters make up 96% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

6.2

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 79% Stable renters 16% Owners 5%

Tract context

Occupied units1,949

Renter share95.5%

SVI overall0.15

Poverty rate70.9%

Median income$18,159

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Iowa City and the region

Centroid at 41.6564, -91.5304 · click any tract to drill in

Why Manville Heights scores 6.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Iowa City

7.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.2

State political climate

Iowa legislature & governorship

2.3

Economic stress

70.9% poverty · this tract

10.0

Supply constraint

$1,056 rent vs county FMR

4.6

Rent control risk

Inherited from Iowa City

2.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Iowa City

5.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Iowa City

3.5

How Manville Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 15

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

57%Socioeconomic
0%Household composition
29%Racial/ethnic minority
33%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Manville Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

19.4%Housing insecurity
16.0%Utility-shutoff threat
35.2%Food insecurity
35.5%SNAP enrollment
23.2%Transit barriers
11.3%No health insurance
29.6%Frequent mental distress
38.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Manville Heights

The score leans hardest on economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Iowa City eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Johnson County average of 4.7 and above the Iowa statewide average of 4.3. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 15th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 19.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 16.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 19103001601

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19103001601?

Census tract 19103001601 in the Manville Heights neighborhood scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 19103001601?

Median gross rent is $1,056/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 83% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 19103001601?

70.9% of residents in tract 19103001601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,484.

How socially vulnerable is tract 19103001601?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 15th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 57th, household 0th, minority 29th, housing 33th.

Is tract 19103001601 considered part of Manville Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 19103001601 fall within Manville Heights (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 19103001601 struggle to pay rent?

About 19.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 19103001601 compare to Iowa City overall?

Tract 19103001601 scores 6.2/10, higher than the parent city of Iowa City at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Iowa City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Iowa City

Top eight tracts in Iowa City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.