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Neighborhood · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally

Drake Eviction Risk: Moderate , Des Moines

Tract 19153001000 · Polk County, IA · pop 4,940 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

With a score of 4.2/10, tract 19153001000 in the Drake area of Des Moines, IA reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 32% Owners 47%
Tract context
Occupied units2,227
Renter share53.2%
SVI overall0.62
Poverty rate13.7%
Median income$70,130

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Drake
Very Low
Within parent city
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileLowHigh
#34 of 60 tracts In Des Moines
Moderate
Within county
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#44 of 112 tracts In Polk County
Elevated
Within state
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#236 of 896 tracts In Iowa
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Des Moines and the region

Centroid at 41.6077, -93.6657 · click any tract to drill in

Why Drake scores 4.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Des Moines
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Iowa legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
13.7% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
$1,002 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Des Moines
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Des Moines
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Des Moines
2.5

How Drake compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Drake risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.2This tracttract 0010003.4Des Moinesparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county3.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 62

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: A: Best

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 474Total filings over 10 yrs
  • 6.32%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.6%Peak (2015)
  • 80Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2006 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 19153001000
Filings climbed 45% over the past 10 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Drake. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Drake

20% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.2/10.

On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.3/10. The filing record is not thin: 474 evictions over 10 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2015, when 9.6% of renter households were served.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground A ("Best"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. At $1,002 a month, rents run 8% under what the rest of Des Moines commands. In a typical year about 6.3% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 46% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $70,130, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 19153001000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19153001000?

Census tract 19153001000 in the Drake neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 19153001000?

Median gross rent is $1,002/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 19153001000?

13.7% of residents in tract 19153001000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,940.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 19153001000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 62th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 60th, household 37th, minority 48th, housing 76th.
Q5

Is tract 19153001000 considered part of Drake?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 19153001000 fall within Drake (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 19153001000?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 474 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 19153001000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.32% of renter households, peaking at 9.6% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 19153001000 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 19153001000 compare to Des Moines overall?

Tract 19153001000 scores 4.2/10, higher than the parent city of Des Moines at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Des Moines eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 19153001000 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Des Moines

Top eight tracts in Des Moines ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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