Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Southwestern Hills Eviction Risk: Lower , Des Moines
Tract 19153004004 · Polk County, IA · pop 3,019 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
With a score of 3/10, tract 19153004004 in the Southwestern Hills area of Des Moines, IA reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,019. The severe-burden share is 37%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units1,416
Renter share20.7%
SVI overall0.03
Poverty rate1.5%
Median income$117,056
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
17
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
6
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
34
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Des Moines and the region
Centroid at 41.5491, -93.6764 · click any tract to drill in
Why Southwestern Hills scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Des Moines
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Iowa legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
1.5% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,023 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Des Moines
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Des Moines
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Des Moines
2.5
How Southwestern Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 3
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 1%Socioeconomic
- 18%Household composition
- 28%Racial/ethnic minority
- 9%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 7%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 55%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 205Total filings over 10 yrs
- 6.85%Avg annual filing rate
- 13.4%Peak (2015)
- 40Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 233% over the past 10 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Southwestern Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.5%Housing insecurity
- 4.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 6.9%Food insecurity
- 5.0%SNAP enrollment
- 4.4%Transit barriers
- 4.6%No health insurance
- 14.6%Frequent mental distress
- 21.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Southwestern Hills
Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.2/10. Food insecurity runs 6.9% against 17.8% nationally.
Against Polk County at 42.0%, 48% of renters here are cost-burdened. The filing record is not thin: 205 evictions over 10 years of observation. Housing insecurity runs 6.5% against 14.2% nationally.
It sits 0.8 points below the Polk County average of 3.8. Filings peaked in 2015 at 13.4% of renter households.
This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Des Moines. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 6.8% of renter households face a filing.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 19153004004
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19153004004?
Census tract 19153004004 in the Southwestern Hills neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 19153004004?
Median gross rent is $1,023/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 19153004004?
1.5% of residents in tract 19153004004 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,019.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 19153004004?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 3th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 1th, household 18th, minority 28th, housing 9th.
Q5
Is tract 19153004004 considered part of Southwestern Hills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 19153004004 fall within Southwestern Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 19153004004?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 205 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 19153004004 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.85% of renter households, peaking at 13.4% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 19153004004 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 19153004004 compare to Des Moines overall?
Tract 19153004004 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Des Moines at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Des Moines eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 19153004004 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Des Moines
Top eight tracts in Des Moines ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IA
Drake Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Sherman Hill
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Drake
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Watrous South
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Somerset
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Capitol Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
River Bend
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
19153000101
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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