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Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally

Western Gateway Eviction Risk: Moderate , Des Moines

Tract 19153005101 · Polk County, IA · pop 6,728 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Census tract 19153005101 covers part of the Western Gateway area of Des Moines, IA, and scores 4.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 6,728. 88% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28% Stable renters 60% Owners 12%
Tract context
Occupied units4,746
Renter share88.0%
SVI overall0.35
Poverty rate19.7%
Median income$56,838

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Western Gateway
Moderate
Within parent city
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#5 of 60 tracts In Des Moines
Very High
Within county
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#19 of 112 tracts In Polk County
High
Within state
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#94 of 896 tracts In Iowa
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Des Moines and the region

Centroid at 41.5836, -93.6284 · click any tract to drill in

Why Western Gateway scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Des Moines
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Iowa legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
19.7% poverty · this tract
4.9
Supply constraint
$1,151 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Des Moines
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Des Moines
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Des Moines
2.5

How Western Gateway compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Western Gateway risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.8This tracttract 0051013.4Des Moinesparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county3.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 35

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Western Gateway

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. 32% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Polk County average of 42.0%. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.2/10.

Running cool, state political climate reads 2.3/10. Severe burden reaches 13%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The poverty rate is 20%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Against the Polk County average of 3.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.0 points. Food insecurity runs 9.9% against 17.8% nationally.

SNAP participation runs 7.7% against 15.2% nationally. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. On the national scale it lands near the 58th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the IA average is 3.7, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 19153005101

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19153005101?

Census tract 19153005101 in the Western Gateway neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 19153005101?

Median gross rent is $1,151/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 19153005101?

19.7% of residents in tract 19153005101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,728.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 19153005101?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 35th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 46th, household 1th, minority 47th, housing 87th.
Q5

Is tract 19153005101 considered part of Western Gateway?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 19153005101 fall within Western Gateway (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 19153005101 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 19153005101 compare to Des Moines overall?

Tract 19153005101 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Des Moines at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Des Moines eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 19153005101 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 88% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Des Moines

Top eight tracts in Des Moines ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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