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Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally

Union Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Des Moines

Tract 19153001500 · Polk County, IA · pop 2,930 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

19153001500 is a census tract in the Union Park area of Des Moines, IA. It scores 4.8/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,930 residents. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 12% Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units1,025
Renter share20.3%
SVI overall0.72
Poverty rate18.8%
Median income$64,263

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Union Park
Moderate
Within parent city
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#17 of 60 tracts In Des Moines
Elevated
Within county
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 112 tracts In Polk County
Very High
Within state
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#94 of 896 tracts In Iowa
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Des Moines and the region

Centroid at 41.6138, -93.6112 · click any tract to drill in

Why Union Park scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Des Moines
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Iowa legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
18.8% poverty · this tract
4.7
Supply constraint
$1,196 rent vs county FMR
4.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Des Moines
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Des Moines
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Des Moines
2.5

How Union Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Union Park risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.8This tracttract 0015003.4Des Moinesparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county3.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 72

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 176Total filings over 10 yrs
  • 9.93%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.8%Peak (2011)
  • 19Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2006 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 19153001500
Filings climbed 36% over the past 10 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Union Park

On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.2/10. 16% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.3/10. The poverty rate is 19%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

It sits 1.0 points above the Polk County average of 3.8. Court records carry 176 eviction filings across 10 observed years. SNAP participation runs 22.7% against 15.2% nationally.

Food insecurity runs 24.8% against 17.8% nationally. At $1,196 a month, rents run 10% over what the rest of Des Moines commands.

Filings peaked in 2011 at 10.8% of renter households. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Des Moines. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 9.9% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 58% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 20% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 19153001500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19153001500?

Census tract 19153001500 in the Union Park neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 19153001500?

Median gross rent is $1,196/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 19153001500?

18.8% of residents in tract 19153001500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,930.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 19153001500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 77th, household 76th, minority 55th, housing 47th.
Q5

Is tract 19153001500 considered part of Union Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 19153001500 fall within Union Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 19153001500?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 176 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 19153001500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.93% of renter households, peaking at 10.8% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 19153001500 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 19153001500 compare to Des Moines overall?

Tract 19153001500 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Des Moines at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Des Moines eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 19153001500 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 21% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Des Moines

Top eight tracts in Des Moines ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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