Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
Indianola Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate , Des Moines
Tract 19153004400 · Polk County, IA · pop 4,028 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Census tract 19153004400 covers part of the Indianola Hills area of Des Moines, IA, and scores 4.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,028 residents. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units1,549
Renter share38.3%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate17.8%
Median income$62,142
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
66
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
97
th percentile
Very High
Within state
90
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Des Moines and the region
Centroid at 41.5603, -93.6029 · click any tract to drill in
Why Indianola Hills scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Des Moines
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
Iowa legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
17.8% poverty · this tract
4.5
Supply constraint
$955 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Des Moines
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Des Moines
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Des Moines
2.5
How Indianola Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 83
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 89%Socioeconomic
- 68%Household composition
- 59%Racial/ethnic minority
- 71%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 48%Grade C
- 52%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 977Total filings over 10 yrs
- 14.65%Avg annual filing rate
- 19.7%Peak (2007)
- 120Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 10 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 20.7%Housing insecurity
- 13.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 28.5%Food insecurity
- 26.0%SNAP enrollment
- 13.8%Transit barriers
- 16.3%No health insurance
- 21.4%Frequent mental distress
- 36.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Indianola Hills
Against Polk County at 42.0%, roughly one in two of renters here are cost-burdened. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.2/10. The severe-burden share is 16%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.3/10. SNAP participation runs 26.0% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 28.5% against 17.8% nationally.
Against the Polk County average of 3.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.0 points. The filing record is not thin: 977 evictions over 10 years of observation. At $955 a month, rents run 12% under what the rest of Des Moines commands.
The worst year on record was 2007, when 19.7% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Des Moines. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 14.6% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 58th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.5/10.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 19153004400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19153004400?
Census tract 19153004400 in the Indianola Hills neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 19153004400?
Median gross rent is $955/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 19153004400?
17.8% of residents in tract 19153004400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,028.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 19153004400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 89th, household 68th, minority 59th, housing 71th.
Q5
Is tract 19153004400 considered part of Indianola Hills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 19153004400 fall within Indianola Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 19153004400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 977 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 19153004400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.65% of renter households, peaking at 19.7% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 19153004400 struggle to pay rent?
About 20.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 19153004400 compare to Des Moines overall?
Tract 19153004400 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Des Moines at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Des Moines eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 19153004400 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 52% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Des Moines
Top eight tracts in Des Moines ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IA
Pioneer Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Western Gateway
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Kirkwood Glen
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Capitol East
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Mondamin Presidential
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Garton West
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Union Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
Highland Park
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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