Within parent city
91
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Council Bluffs Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 19155030900 · Pottawattamie County, IA · pop 1,559
Tract 19155030900 sits in Council Bluffs eviction risk, IA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.4/10. It is home to 1,559 residents. 92% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 47%
Stable renters 45%
Owners 8%
Tract context
Occupied units998
Renter share91.6%
SVI overall0.81
Poverty rate27.8%
Median income$22,600
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
83
th percentile
High
Within state
99
th percentile
Very High
National
70
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Council Bluffs and the region
Centroid at 41.2591, -95.8515 · click any tract to drill in
Why Council Bluffs scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Council Bluffs
3.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Iowa legislature & governorship
2.3
Economic stress
27.8% poverty · this tract
7.0
Supply constraint
$726 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Council Bluffs
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Council Bluffs
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Council Bluffs
5.8
How Council Bluffs compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 81
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 84%Socioeconomic
- 81%Household composition
- 33%Racial/ethnic minority
- 72%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 75%Grade B
- 25%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 164Total filings over 4 yrs
- 4.95%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.9%Peak (2013)
- 40Filings in 2014 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 21% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 18.4%Housing insecurity
- 14.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 30.1%Food insecurity
- 31.4%SNAP enrollment
- 14.6%Transit barriers
- 13.5%No health insurance
- 20.8%Frequent mental distress
- 44.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Council Bluffs
The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1/10. Cost burden runs 51% here against 38.2% across Pottawattamie County. Severe burden reaches 26%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Set annual rent against average income of $22,600 and the ratio lands at 39%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Average gross rent is $726, 30% below the Council Bluffs average. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.9/10.
The poverty rate is 28%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Disability prevalence runs 44.5% against 31.5% nationally. It sits 1.4 points above the Pottawattamie County average of 4.0.
Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.3/10. Court records carry 164 eviction filings across 4 observed years. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 14.4% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 19155030900
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 19155030900?
Census tract 19155030900 in Council Bluffs scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 19155030900?
Median gross rent is $726/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 19155030900?
27.8% of residents in tract 19155030900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,559.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 19155030900?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 81th, minority 33th, housing 72th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 19155030900?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 164 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 19155030900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.95% of renter households, peaking at 6.9% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 19155030900 struggle to pay rent?
About 18.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 19155030900 compare to Council Bluffs overall?
Tract 19155030900 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Council Bluffs at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Council Bluffs eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 19155030900 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Council Bluffs
Top eight tracts in Council Bluffs ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IA
19155031100
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
19155031300
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
19155030200
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
NoDo
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
19155030700
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
19155030502
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
19155030602
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · IA
19155030100
4.6
/ 10 · Moderate
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