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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Beechmont Eviction Risk: Moderate , Louisville

Tract 21111004400 · Jefferson County, KY · pop 4,253 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Census tract 21111004400 covers part of the Beechmont area of Louisville, KY, and scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,253 residents. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.2/10.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 27% Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units2,015
Renter share45.5%
SVI overall0.80
Poverty rate23.4%
Median income$48,003

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Beechmont
Very High
Within parent city
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 90 tracts In Louisville
High
Within county
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 216 tracts In Jefferson County
Very High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#27 of 1,306 tracts In Kentucky
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Louisville and the region

Centroid at 38.1849, -85.7734 · click any tract to drill in

Why Beechmont scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Louisville
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
23.4% poverty · this tract
5.8
Supply constraint
$911 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Louisville
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Louisville
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Louisville
5.0

How Beechmont compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Beechmont risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0044004.0Louisvilleparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 80

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,168Total filings over 14 yrs
  • 11.37%Avg annual filing rate
  • 13.6%Peak (2012)
  • 86Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 21111004400
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 14 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Beechmont. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Beechmont

The severe-burden share is 26%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.9/10.

It sits 1.4 points above the Jefferson County average of 4.0. The poverty rate is 23%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Court records carry 1,168 eviction filings across 14 observed years.

Average gross rent is $911, 10% below the Louisville average. Filings peaked in 2012 at 13.6% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

In a typical year about 11.4% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 8.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the KY average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 21111004400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21111004400?

Census tract 21111004400 in the Beechmont neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 21111004400?

Median gross rent is $911/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 21111004400?

23.4% of residents in tract 21111004400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,253.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 21111004400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 76th, minority 57th, housing 68th.
Q5

Is tract 21111004400 considered part of Beechmont?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 21111004400 fall within Beechmont (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 21111004400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,168 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 21111004400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.37% of renter households, peaking at 13.6% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 21111004400 compare to Louisville overall?

Tract 21111004400 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Louisville at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Louisville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 21111004400 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Louisville

Top eight tracts in Louisville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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