Neighborhood · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally

Beechmont Eviction Risk: Moderate , Louisville

Tract 21111009001 · Jefferson County, KY · pop 3,335 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

21111009001 is a census tract in the Beechmont area of Louisville, KY. It scores 4.1/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,335 residents. 57% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Jefferson County average of 42.9%.

Risk score

4.1

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 16% Owners 63%

Tract context

Occupied units1,378

Renter share37.6%

SVI overall0.70

Poverty rate8.9%

Median income$51,563

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Louisville and the region

Centroid at 38.1666, -85.7726 · click any tract to drill in

Why Beechmont scores 4.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Louisville

7.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.0

State political climate

Kentucky legislature & governorship

2.1

Economic stress

8.9% poverty · this tract

2.2

Supply constraint

$1,159 rent vs county FMR

3.7

Rent control risk

Inherited from Louisville

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Louisville

5.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Louisville

5.0

How Beechmont compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 70

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

71%Socioeconomic
98%Household composition
74%Racial/ethnic minority
16%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
2%Grade B
97%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Beechmont. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Beechmont

The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.2/10. The severe-burden share is 23%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.1/10.

Average gross rent is $1,159, 15% above the Louisville average. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Louisville. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

That is riskier than roughly 44% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 7.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Jefferson County average of 4.0 closely.

Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $51,563. 38% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 21111009001

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21111009001?

Census tract 21111009001 in the Beechmont neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 21111009001?

Median gross rent is $1,159/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 21111009001?

8.9% of residents in tract 21111009001 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,335.

How socially vulnerable is tract 21111009001?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 70th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 98th, minority 74th, housing 16th.

Is tract 21111009001 considered part of Beechmont?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 21111009001 fall within Beechmont (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).

How does tract 21111009001 compare to Louisville overall?

Tract 21111009001 scores 4.1/10, right in line with the parent city of Louisville at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Louisville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 21111009001 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Louisville

Top eight tracts in Louisville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.