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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Original Highland Neighborhood Eviction Risk: Moderate , Louisville

Tract 21111006200 · Jefferson County, KY · pop 2,184 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

With a score of 5.4/10, tract 21111006200 in the Original Highland Neighborhood area of Louisville, KY reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,184 residents. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.2/10.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 36% Stable renters 32% Owners 32%
Tract context
Occupied units982
Renter share68.0%
SVI overall0.77
Poverty rate33.7%
Median income$42,000

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 9 tracts In Original Highland Neighborhood
Very High
Within parent city
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#23 of 90 tracts In Louisville
High
Within county
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#21 of 216 tracts In Jefferson County
Very High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#27 of 1,306 tracts In Kentucky
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Louisville and the region

Centroid at 38.2411, -85.7446 · click any tract to drill in

Why Original Highland Neighborhood scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Louisville
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
33.7% poverty · this tract
8.4
Supply constraint
$954 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Louisville
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Louisville
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Louisville
5.0

How Original Highland Neighborhood compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Original Highland Neighborhood risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0062004.0Louisvilleparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 77

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 3,396Total filings over 14 yrs
  • 43.87%Avg annual filing rate
  • 74.2%Peak (2005)
  • 102Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 21111006200
Filings dropped 62% over the past 14 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Original Highland Neighborhood. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Original Highland Neighborhood

The severe-burden share is 25%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The poverty rate is 34%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. 53% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Jefferson County average of 42.9%.

Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. This is renter territory: 68% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

On the high side, economic stress reads 8.4/10. Against the Jefferson County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 3,396 filings here across 14 tracked years.

The worst year on record was 2005, when 74.2% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Louisville. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 43.9% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8/10.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 21111006200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21111006200?

Census tract 21111006200 in the Original Highland Neighborhood neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 21111006200?

Median gross rent is $954/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 21111006200?

33.7% of residents in tract 21111006200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,184.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 21111006200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 60th, minority 78th, housing 67th.
Q5

Is tract 21111006200 considered part of Original Highland Neighborhood?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 21111006200 fall within Original Highland Neighborhood (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 21111006200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 3,396 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 21111006200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 43.87% of renter households, peaking at 74.2% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 21111006200 compare to Louisville overall?

Tract 21111006200 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Louisville at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Louisville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 21111006200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 78% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Louisville

Top eight tracts in Louisville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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