Within neighborhood
88
th percentile
High
Neighborhood · Ranked #19,562 of 84,120 nationally
Original Highland Neighborhood Eviction Risk: Moderate , Louisville
Tract 21111006200 · Jefferson County, KY · pop 2,184 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Here is how census tract 21111006200, in the Original Highland Neighborhood neighborhood of Louisville eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a 6.4/10 eviction-risk score (Elevated tier) across a population of 2,184. On the national scale it ranks #12,450 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 53% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $954 monthly, set against $42,000 in average yearly household income, roughly 27% of income at the averages. Renters make up 68% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 36%
Stable renters 32%
Owners 32%
Tract context
Occupied units982
Renter share68.0%
SVI overall0.77
Poverty rate33.7%
Median income$42,000
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
76
th percentile
High
Within county
89
th percentile
High
Within state
77
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Louisville and the region
Centroid at 38.2411, -85.7446 · click any tract to drill in
Why Original Highland Neighborhood scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Louisville
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
33.7% poverty · this tract
8.4
Supply constraint
$954 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Louisville
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Louisville
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Louisville
5.0
How Original Highland Neighborhood compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 77
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 78%Socioeconomic
- 60%Household composition
- 78%Racial/ethnic minority
- 67%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 78%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 3,396Total filings over 14 yrs
- 43.87%Avg annual filing rate
- 74.2%Peak (2005)
- 102Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 62% over the past 14 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Original Highland Neighborhood. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Original Highland Neighborhood
What moves this score most is economic stress at 8.4/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Louisville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Jefferson County average of 5.5 and above the Kentucky statewide average of 4.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 3,396 eviction filings here over 14 tracked years, with about 43.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 74.2% of renter households in 2005.
The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 77th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 21111006200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21111006200?
Census tract 21111006200 in the Original Highland Neighborhood neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 21111006200?
Median gross rent is $954/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 21111006200?
33.7% of residents in tract 21111006200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,184.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 21111006200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 60th, minority 78th, housing 67th.
Q5
Is tract 21111006200 considered part of Original Highland Neighborhood?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 21111006200 fall within Original Highland Neighborhood (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 21111006200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 3,396 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 21111006200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 43.87% of renter households, peaking at 74.2% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 21111006200 compare to Louisville overall?
Tract 21111006200 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Louisville at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Louisville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 21111006200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 78% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Louisville
Top eight tracts in Louisville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · KY
Wyandotte/Oakdale
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · KY
Whiskey Row
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · KY
21111003501
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · KY
Whiskey Row
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · KY
21111001400
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · KY
21111001500
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · KY
Russell
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · KY
Whiskey Row
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Related
Explore the geography around tract 21111006200
Parent city ↑
Louisville
3.2 / 10
Parent county ↑
Jefferson County
Parent state ↑
Kentucky
Sibling tract →
Original Highland Neighborhood
5.5 / 10
Sibling tract →
Original Highland Neighborhood
3.9 / 10
Sibling tract →
Original Highland Neighborhood
3.8 / 10
Methodology
How the score is built
Interactive map
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