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Census Tract · Ranked #48,083 of 84,120 nationally

Louisville Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 21111007700 · Jefferson County, KY · pop 1,982 · 90% of tract blocks fall in Louisville

How risky is Louisville in Jefferson County for landlords? Census tract 21111007700 scores 5.8/10, the Moderate tier. It lands near the 68th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 69% of renter households, a severe level, and 43% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,052 a month against an average household income of $75,919 a year, roughly 17% of income at the averages. About 56% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 38% Stable renters 17% Owners 45%
Tract context
Occupied units911
Renter share55.5%
SVI overall0.47
Poverty rate12.0%
Median income$75,919

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#68 of 90 tracts In Louisville
Low
Within county
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#115 of 216 tracts In Jefferson County
Moderate
Within state
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#906 of 1,306 tracts In Kentucky
Low
National
43 th percentile
Rank, 43rd percentileLowHigh
#48,083 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Louisville and the region

Centroid at 38.2601, -85.6713 · click any tract to drill in

Why Louisville scores 3.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Louisville
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
12.0% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$1,052 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Louisville
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Louisville
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Louisville
5.0

How Louisville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Louisville risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.63.6This tracttract 007700Louisville: 3.23.2Louisvilleparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 47

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 167Total filings over 14 yrs
  • 2.65%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.0%Peak (2008)
  • 6Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 211110077002002: 3 filings (0.67/100 renter HHs)2003: 7 filings (1.56/100 renter HHs)2004: 5 filings (1.11/100 renter HHs)2005: 4 filings (0.94/100 renter HHs)2006: 11 filings (2.60/100 renter HHs)2007: 11 filings (2.60/100 renter HHs)2008: 38 filings (8.97/100 renter HHs)2009: 24 filings (5.67/100 renter HHs)2010: 9 filings (1.92/100 renter HHs)2011: 14 filings (2.82/100 renter HHs)2012: 7 filings (1.41/100 renter HHs)2013: 6 filings (1.21/100 renter HHs)2014: 22 filings (4.43/100 renter HHs)2015: 6 filings (1.21/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 100% over the past 14 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Louisville

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 5.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Louisville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Jefferson County average of 5.5 and above the Kentucky statewide average of 4.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 47th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 21111007700

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21111007700?

Census tract 21111007700 in Louisville scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 21111007700?

Median gross rent is $1,052/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 21111007700?

12.0% of residents in tract 21111007700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,982.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 21111007700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 47th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 23th, household 62th, minority 25th, housing 78th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 21111007700?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 167 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 21111007700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.65% of renter households, peaking at 9.0% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 21111007700 compare to Louisville overall?

Tract 21111007700 scores 3.6/10, higher than the parent city of Louisville at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Louisville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 21111007700 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Louisville

Top eight tracts in Louisville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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