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Census Tract · Ranked #52,479 of 84,120 nationally

Louisville Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 21111012003 · Jefferson County, KY · pop 3,470

Tract 21111012003 sits in Louisville eviction risk, KY, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.8/10. It is home to 3,470 residents. 8% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well under the Jefferson County average of 42.9%.

Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1% Stable renters 11% Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units1,281
Renter share12.5%
SVI overall0.56
Poverty rate15.5%
Median income$69,344

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#36 of 90 tracts In Louisville
Elevated
Within county
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#114 of 216 tracts In Jefferson County
Moderate
Within state
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#648 of 1,306 tracts In Kentucky
Moderate
National
38 th percentile
Rank, 38th percentileLowHigh
#52,479 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Louisville and the region

Centroid at 38.0736, -85.8223 · click any tract to drill in

Why Louisville scores 3.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Louisville
6.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
15.5% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$1,381 rent vs county FMR
5.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Louisville
1.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Louisville
3.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Louisville
3.0

How Louisville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Louisville risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.8This tracttract 0120033.5Louisvilleparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 56

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 874Total filings over 14 yrs
  • 23.39%Avg annual filing rate
  • 48.3%Peak (2004)
  • 50Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 21111012003
Filings dropped 31% over the past 14 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Louisville

What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.2/10. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.6/10. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.8/10.

At $1,381 a month, rents run 23% over what the rest of Louisville commands. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 874 filings here across 14 tracked years. Severe burden reaches 8%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

The worst year on record was 2004, when 48.3% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 23.4% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 38th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Only 12% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 21111012003

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21111012003?

Census tract 21111012003 in Louisville scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 21111012003?

Median gross rent is $1,381/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 8% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 21111012003?

15.5% of residents in tract 21111012003 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,470.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 21111012003?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 56th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 58th, household 77th, minority 37th, housing 35th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 21111012003?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 874 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 21111012003 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 23.39% of renter households, peaking at 48.3% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 21111012003 compare to Louisville overall?

Tract 21111012003 scores 3.8/10, higher than the parent city of Louisville at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Louisville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Louisville

Top eight tracts in Louisville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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