Within parent city
93
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Louisville Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 21111001200 · Jefferson County, KY · pop 2,992
With a score of 5.4/10, tract 21111001200 in Louisville, KY reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. 34% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22%
Stable renters 29%
Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units1,227
Renter share50.7%
SVI overall0.73
Poverty rate35.8%
Median income$35,477
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
87
th percentile
High
Within state
98
th percentile
Very High
National
70
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Louisville and the region
Centroid at 38.2358, -85.8246 · click any tract to drill in
Why Louisville scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Louisville
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
35.8% poverty · this tract
8.9
Supply constraint
$1,145 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Louisville
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Louisville
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Louisville
5.0
How Louisville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 73
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 81%Socioeconomic
- 83%Household composition
- 96%Racial/ethnic minority
- 22%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 20%Grade C
- 26%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 940Total filings over 14 yrs
- 15.62%Avg annual filing rate
- 22.5%Peak (2014)
- 75Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 39% over the past 14 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Louisville
The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.2/10. Set annual rent against average income of $35,477 and the ratio lands at 39%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
The poverty rate is 36%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the high side, economic stress reads 8.9/10.
On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Against the Jefferson County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points. Court records carry 940 eviction filings across 14 observed years.
Average gross rent is $1,145, 13% above the Louisville average. Filings peaked in 2014 at 22.5% of renter households.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 15.6% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 21111001200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21111001200?
Census tract 21111001200 in Louisville scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 21111001200?
Median gross rent is $1,145/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 21111001200?
35.8% of residents in tract 21111001200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,992.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 21111001200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 73th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 83th, minority 96th, housing 22th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 21111001200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 940 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 21111001200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 15.62% of renter households, peaking at 22.5% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
How does tract 21111001200 compare to Louisville overall?
Tract 21111001200 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Louisville at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Louisville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7
Was tract 21111001200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 26% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Louisville
Top eight tracts in Louisville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · KY
21111000900
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · KY
21111009103
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · KY
21111003502
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · KY
Wilder Park
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · KY
Russell
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · KY
Wyandotte/Oakdale
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · KY
Beechmont
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · KY
21111001100
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Related