Within parent city
80
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Louisville Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 21111003502 · Jefferson County, KY · pop 1,855
Tract 21111003502 sits in Louisville eviction risk, KY, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.4/10. It is home to 1,855 residents. about one in five of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far below the Jefferson County average of 42.9%.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%
Stable renters 78%
Owners 3%
Tract context
Occupied units723
Renter share96.7%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate88.9%
Median income$11,827
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
88
th percentile
High
Within state
98
th percentile
Very High
National
70
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Louisville and the region
Centroid at 38.2206, -85.7737 · click any tract to drill in
Why Louisville scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Louisville
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
88.9% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$163 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Louisville
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Louisville
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Louisville
5.0
How Louisville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 99
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 94%Socioeconomic
- 95%Household composition
- 88%Racial/ethnic minority
- 97%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 5%Grade C
- 63%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Louisville
The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10. At $163 a month, rents run 84% under what the rest of Louisville commands.
The poverty rate is 89%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. This is renter territory: 97% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 9.2/10.
Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10. Against the Jefferson County average of 4.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points. Severe burden reaches 15%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Louisville. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 9.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 21111003502
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21111003502?
Census tract 21111003502 in Louisville scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 21111003502?
Median gross rent is $163/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 20% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 21111003502?
88.9% of residents in tract 21111003502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,855.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 21111003502?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 95th, minority 88th, housing 97th.
Q5
How does tract 21111003502 compare to Louisville overall?
Tract 21111003502 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Louisville at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Louisville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q6
Was tract 21111003502 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 63% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Louisville
Top eight tracts in Louisville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · KY
Russell
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · KY
21111004500
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · KY
21111000202
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · KY
Russell
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · KY
Russell
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · KY
Russell
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · KY
Whiskey Row
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · KY
Russell
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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