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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Russell Eviction Risk: Moderate , Louisville

Tract 21111001000 · Jefferson County, KY · pop 2,218 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

21111001000 is a census tract in the Russell area of Louisville, KY. It scores 5.4/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,218. The severe-burden share is 37%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 16% Owners 60%
Tract context
Occupied units1,073
Renter share39.5%
SVI overall0.65
Poverty rate28.6%
Median income$63,015

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
42 th percentile
Rank, 42nd percentileLowHigh
#8 of 13 tracts In Russell
Moderate
Within parent city
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#41 of 90 tracts In Louisville
Elevated
Within county
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#32 of 216 tracts In Jefferson County
High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#27 of 1,306 tracts In Kentucky
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Louisville and the region

Centroid at 38.2434, -85.8052 · click any tract to drill in

Why Russell scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Louisville
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
28.6% poverty · this tract
7.1
Supply constraint
$1,086 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Louisville
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Louisville
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Louisville
5.0

How Russell compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Russell risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0010004.0Louisvilleparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 65

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,638Total filings over 14 yrs
  • 21.97%Avg annual filing rate
  • 26.7%Peak (2013)
  • 93Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 21111001000
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 14 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Russell. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Russell

Against Jefferson County at 42.9%, 60% of renters here are cost-burdened. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.2/10.

On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. The poverty rate is 29%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

It sits 1.4 points above the Jefferson County average of 4.0. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.1/10.

The filing record is not thin: 1,638 evictions over 14 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2013, when 26.7% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

In a typical year about 22.0% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 21111001000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21111001000?

Census tract 21111001000 in the Russell neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 21111001000?

Median gross rent is $1,086/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 21111001000?

28.6% of residents in tract 21111001000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,218.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 21111001000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 65th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 19th, minority 94th, housing 40th.
Q5

Is tract 21111001000 considered part of Russell?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 21111001000 fall within Russell (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 21111001000?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,638 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 21111001000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 21.97% of renter households, peaking at 26.7% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 21111001000 compare to Louisville overall?

Tract 21111001000 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Louisville at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Louisville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 21111001000 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 5% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Louisville

Top eight tracts in Louisville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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