Louisville Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 21111009103 · Jefferson County, KY · pop 1,354 · 86% of tract blocks fall in Louisville
21111009103 is a census tract in Louisville, KY. It scores 5.4/10 for landlords. Population here is 1,354. The severe-burden share is 32%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Louisville and the region
Centroid at 38.1514, -85.7544 · click any tract to drill in
Why Louisville scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Louisville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 89
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 89%Socioeconomic
- 97%Household composition
- 70%Racial/ethnic minority
- 54%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 456Total filings over 14 yrs
- 12.16%Avg annual filing rate
- 19.7%Peak (2007)
- 24Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
What drives eviction risk in Louisville
What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.2/10. The poverty rate is 33%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, economic stress reads 8.2/10.
It sits 1.4 points above the Jefferson County average of 4.0. The filing record is not thin: 456 evictions over 14 years of observation.
Filings peaked in 2007 at 19.7% of renter households. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Louisville. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 12.2% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9/10.
Statewide the KY average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
Rent takes 30% or more of income for 46% of renters.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
About tract 21111009103
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21111009103?
What is the average rent in tract 21111009103?
What is the poverty rate in tract 21111009103?
How socially vulnerable is tract 21111009103?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 21111009103?
How does tract 21111009103 compare to Louisville overall?
Was tract 21111009103 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Louisville
Top eight tracts in Louisville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.