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Census Tract · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Louisville Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 21111009103 · Jefferson County, KY · pop 1,354 · 86% of tract blocks fall in Louisville

21111009103 is a census tract in Louisville, KY. It scores 5.4/10 for landlords. Population here is 1,354. The severe-burden share is 32%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 28% Owners 48%
Tract context
Occupied units533
Renter share52.3%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate32.8%
Median income$42,257

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#14 of 90 tracts In Louisville
High
Within county
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#17 of 216 tracts In Jefferson County
Very High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#27 of 1,306 tracts In Kentucky
Very High
National
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#24,859 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Louisville and the region

Centroid at 38.1514, -85.7544 · click any tract to drill in

Why Louisville scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Louisville
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.0
State political climate
Kentucky legislature & governorship
2.1
Economic stress
32.8% poverty · this tract
8.2
Supply constraint
$1,006 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Louisville
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Louisville
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Louisville
5.0

How Louisville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Louisville risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0091034.0Louisvilleparent city4.0Countyavg tract in county3.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 89

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 456Total filings over 14 yrs
  • 12.16%Avg annual filing rate
  • 19.7%Peak (2007)
  • 24Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 21111009103
Filings climbed 20% over the past 14 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Louisville

What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.2/10. The poverty rate is 33%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, economic stress reads 8.2/10.

It sits 1.4 points above the Jefferson County average of 4.0. The filing record is not thin: 456 evictions over 14 years of observation.

Filings peaked in 2007 at 19.7% of renter households. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Louisville. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 12.2% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 70th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9/10.

Statewide the KY average is 3.9, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

Rent takes 30% or more of income for 46% of renters.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 21111009103

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 21111009103?

Census tract 21111009103 in Louisville scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 21111009103?

Median gross rent is $1,006/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 21111009103?

32.8% of residents in tract 21111009103 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,354.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 21111009103?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 89th, household 97th, minority 70th, housing 54th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 21111009103?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 456 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 21111009103 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.16% of renter households, peaking at 19.7% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 21111009103 compare to Louisville overall?

Tract 21111009103 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Louisville at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Louisville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 21111009103 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Louisville

Top eight tracts in Louisville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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