Neighborhood · Ranked #17,132 of 84,120 nationally
Stroudwater Eviction Risk: Elevated , Portland
Tract 23005002002 ·
Cumberland County, ME · pop 2,598 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
With a score of 6.2/10, tract 23005002002 in the Stroudwater area of Portland, ME reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. Cost burden runs 55% here against 38.5% across Cumberland County.
Risk score
6.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%Stable renters 13%Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units985
Renter share29.1%
SVI overall0.38
Poverty rate10.8%
Median income$111,480
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Stroudwater
Moderate
Within parent city
11th percentile
#18 of 20 tracts In Portland
Very Low
Within county
72th percentile
#23 of 80 tracts In Cumberland County
Elevated
Within state
92th percentile
#33 of 401 tracts In Maine
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Portland and the region
Centroid at 43.6530, -70.3135 · click any tract to drill in
Why Stroudwater scores 6.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Portland
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
Maine legislature & governorship
4.0
Economic stress
10.8% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$1,527 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Portland
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Portland
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Portland
5.5
How Stroudwater compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 38
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
30%Socioeconomic
12%Household composition
16%Racial/ethnic minority
86%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
10.2%Housing insecurity
7.6%Utility-shutoff threat
10.1%Food insecurity
12.5%SNAP enrollment
8.0%Transit barriers
8.0%No health insurance
17.5%Frequent mental distress
24.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Stroudwater
The severe-burden share is 31%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The clearest offset is supply constraint at 2.6/10. It sits 1.2 points above the Cumberland County average of 5.0.
On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.7/10. Running cool, court filing pressure reads 2.8/10. Food insecurity runs 10.1% against 17.8% nationally.
That is riskier than roughly 80% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Rent consumes only 16% of average household income of $111,480, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the ME average is 4.5, so this tract runs 1.7 points hotter.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Average gross rent is $1,527, close to the Portland average.
29% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 23005002002
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 23005002002?
Census tract 23005002002 in the Stroudwater neighborhood scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 23005002002?
Median gross rent is $1,527/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 23005002002?
10.8% of residents in tract 23005002002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,598.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 23005002002?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 38th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 30th, household 12th, minority 16th, housing 86th.
Q5
Is tract 23005002002 considered part of Stroudwater?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 23005002002 fall within Stroudwater (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 23005002002 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 23005002002 compare to Portland overall?
Tract 23005002002 scores 6.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Portland at 6.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Portland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Portland
Top eight tracts in Portland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.