Neighborhood · Ranked #23,554 of 84,120 nationally

Mariner Eviction Risk: Moderate , Portland

Tract 23005002400 · Cumberland County, ME · pop 1,337 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

With a score of $1/10, tract 23005002400 in the Mariner neighborhood of Portland ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 1,337 residents. That is riskier than roughly 39% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 41% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 33% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,648 a month while the average household earns $83,393 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. Renters make up 12% of occupied homes.

Risk score

5.1

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 7% Owners 88%

Tract context

Occupied units700

Renter share11.7%

SVI overall0.28

Poverty rate13.5%

Median income$83,393

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Portland and the region

Centroid at 43.6769, -70.1548 · click any tract to drill in

Why Mariner scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Portland

6.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.8

State political climate

Maine legislature & governorship

4.0

Economic stress

13.5% poverty · this tract

3.4

Supply constraint

$1,648 rent vs county FMR

3.2

Rent control risk

Inherited from Portland

5.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Portland

6.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Portland

5.5

How Mariner compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 28

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

38%Socioeconomic
18%Household composition
12%Racial/ethnic minority
43%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

6.1%Housing insecurity
5.0%Utility-shutoff threat
6.5%Food insecurity
8.7%SNAP enrollment
5.4%Transit barriers
5.2%No health insurance
13.7%Frequent mental distress
27.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Mariner

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Portland eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Cumberland County average of 4.5 and in line with the Maine statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 6.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 28th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 23005002400

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 23005002400?

Census tract 23005002400 in the Mariner neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 23005002400?

Median gross rent is $1,648/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 23005002400?

13.5% of residents in tract 23005002400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,337.

How socially vulnerable is tract 23005002400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 28th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 38th, household 18th, minority 12th, housing 43th.

Is tract 23005002400 considered part of Mariner?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 23005002400 fall within Mariner (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 23005002400 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 23005002400 compare to Portland overall?

Tract 23005002400 scores 5.1/10, lower than the parent city of Portland at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Portland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Portland

Top eight tracts in Portland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.