Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #71,178 of 84,120 nationally
Saco Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 23031005302 · York County, ME · pop 3,095
With a score of 5.2/10, tract 23031005302 in Saco ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 3,095 residents. It lands near the 46th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
62% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 6% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,667 a month while the average household earns $75,145 a year, roughly 27% of income at the averages. About 26% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 74%
Tract context
Occupied units1,329
Renter share26.4%
SVI overall0.07
Poverty rate1.1%
Median income$75,145
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
21
th percentile
Low
Within state
12
th percentile
Very Low
National
15
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Saco and the region
Centroid at 43.5077, -70.4718 · click any tract to drill in
Why Saco scores 2.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Saco
6.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.6
State political climate
Maine legislature & governorship
4.0
Economic stress
1.1% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,667 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Saco
5.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Saco
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Saco
4.9
How Saco compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 7
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 14%Socioeconomic
- 5%Household composition
- 15%Racial/ethnic minority
- 23%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.7%Housing insecurity
- 6.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.3%Food insecurity
- 10.5%SNAP enrollment
- 6.6%Transit barriers
- 6.5%No health insurance
- 17.3%Frequent mental distress
- 29.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Saco
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 6.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Saco eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the York County average of 4.8 and above the Maine statewide average of 4.8. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 8.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 7th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 23031005302
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 23031005302?
Census tract 23031005302 in Saco scores 2.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 23031005302?
Median gross rent is $1,667/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 23031005302?
1.1% of residents in tract 23031005302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,095.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 23031005302?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 7th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 14th, household 5th, minority 15th, housing 23th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 23031005302 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 23031005302 compare to Saco overall?
Tract 23031005302 scores 2.2/10, lower than the parent city of Saco at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Saco eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Saco
Top eight tracts in Saco ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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