Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #54,934 of 84,120 nationally
Chapel Hills Eviction Risk: Lower , Aberdeen
Tract 24025302200 · Harford County, MD · pop 3,228 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
How risky is Chapel Hills in Aberdeen for landlords? Census tract 24025302200 scores 6.4/10, the Elevated tier. That is riskier than about 85% of US census tracts.
38% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 15% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,167 monthly, set against $126,563 in average yearly household income, roughly 21% of income at the averages. About 20% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 81%
Tract context
Occupied units1,335
Renter share19.6%
SVI overall0.20
Poverty rate1.0%
Median income$126,563
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
78
th percentile
High
Within state
50
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Aberdeen and the region
Centroid at 39.5576, -76.1881 · click any tract to drill in
Why Chapel Hills scores 3.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Aberdeen
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.4
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
1.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,167 rent vs county FMR
6.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Aberdeen
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Aberdeen
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Aberdeen
7.0
How Chapel Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 20
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 8%Socioeconomic
- 26%Household composition
- 32%Racial/ethnic minority
- 52%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.2%Housing insecurity
- 5.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.7%Food insecurity
- 6.4%SNAP enrollment
- 5.2%Transit barriers
- 5.7%No health insurance
- 14.4%Frequent mental distress
- 23.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Chapel Hills
What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 7.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Aberdeen, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Harford County average of 6.0 and in line with the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 8.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 20th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 24025302200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24025302200?
Census tract 24025302200 in the Chapel Hills neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24025302200?
Median gross rent is $2,167/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24025302200?
1.0% of residents in tract 24025302200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,228.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24025302200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 20th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 8th, household 26th, minority 32th, housing 52th.
Q5
Is tract 24025302200 considered part of Chapel Hills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24025302200 fall within Chapel Hills (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24025302200 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24025302200 compare to Aberdeen overall?
Tract 24025302200 scores 3.2/10, lower than the parent city of Aberdeen at 5.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Aberdeen; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Aberdeen
Top eight tracts in Aberdeen ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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