Metropolitan Grove Eviction Risk: High , Gaithersburg

It sits 2.3 points above the Montgomery County average of 6.0. 86% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 9/10.

Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1.4/10. Average gross rent is $1,485, 28% below the Gaithersburg average. Severe burden reaches 18%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Housing insecurity runs 24.9% against 14.2% nationally. Cost burden runs roughly one in two here against 46.7% across Montgomery County. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 14.2% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

That is riskier than roughly 92% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 9.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 2.8 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.