Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #53,267 of 84,120 nationally
Watkins Mill Eviction Risk: Lower , Montgomery Village
Tract 24031700810 · Montgomery County, MD · pop 5,912 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
The Watkins Mill area of Montgomery Village anchors census tract 24031700810, which lands at 6.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 81st percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 37% of renter households, a high level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,253 a month while the average household earns $153,281 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. Renters make up 13% of occupied homes.
Risk score
3.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units1,904
Renter share13.2%
SVI overall0.22
Poverty rate7.2%
Median income$153,281
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
14
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
66
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
52
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Montgomery Village and the region
Centroid at 39.1885, -77.2051 · click any tract to drill in
Why Watkins Mill scores 3.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Montgomery Village
8.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
7.2% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$2,253 rent vs county FMR
4.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Montgomery Village
4.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Montgomery Village
2.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Montgomery Village
4.5
How Watkins Mill compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 22
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 29%Socioeconomic
- 35%Household composition
- 80%Racial/ethnic minority
- 8%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Watkins Mill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.6%Housing insecurity
- 6.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.0%Food insecurity
- 8.9%SNAP enrollment
- 6.9%Transit barriers
- 10.6%No health insurance
- 13.0%Frequent mental distress
- 22.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Watkins Mill
What moves this score most is eviction process difficulty at 5.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Montgomery Village eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Montgomery County average of 6.7 and below the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 12.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is Hispanic or Latino and Black and ranks around the 22nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 24031700810
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031700810?
Census tract 24031700810 in the Watkins Mill neighborhood scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24031700810?
Median gross rent is $2,253/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24031700810?
7.2% of residents in tract 24031700810 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,912.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24031700810?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 22th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 29th, household 35th, minority 80th, housing 8th.
Q5
Is tract 24031700810 considered part of Watkins Mill?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031700810 fall within Watkins Mill (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24031700810 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24031700810 compare to Montgomery Village overall?
Tract 24031700810 scores 3.3/10, lower than the parent city of Montgomery Village at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Montgomery Village eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Montgomery Village
Top eight tracts in Montgomery Village ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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