Neighborhood · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally

Blair Circle Eviction Risk: Moderate , Silver Spring

Tract 24031702603 · Montgomery County, MD · pop 2,191 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Eviction risk in the Blair Circle neighborhood of Silver Spring centers on tract 24031702603, which scores 6.8/10 (Elevated tier) and is home to 2,191 residents. That is riskier than about 92% of US census tracts.

About 38% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a high level, and 20% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,233 a month while the average household earns $115,147 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 94% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

4.1

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 35% Stable renters 59% Owners 6%

Tract context

Occupied units1,092

Renter share94.0%

SVI overall0.32

Poverty rate12.1%

Median income$115,147

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Silver Spring and the region

Centroid at 38.9907, -77.0314 · click any tract to drill in

Why Blair Circle scores 4.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Silver Spring

7.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.0

State political climate

Maryland legislature & governorship

5.7

Economic stress

12.1% poverty · this tract

3.0

Supply constraint

$2,233 rent vs county FMR

4.7

Rent control risk

Inherited from Silver Spring

6.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Silver Spring

6.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Silver Spring

6.5

How Blair Circle compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 32

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

24%Socioeconomic
7%Household composition
70%Racial/ethnic minority
69%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Blair Circle. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

11.4%Housing insecurity
6.9%Utility-shutoff threat
11.2%Food insecurity
8.0%SNAP enrollment
6.5%Transit barriers
6.8%No health insurance
14.0%Frequent mental distress
18.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Blair Circle

The score leans hardest on eviction process difficulty at 6.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Silver Spring eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Montgomery County average of 6.7 and in line with the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 11.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 32nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 24031702603

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031702603?

Census tract 24031702603 in the Blair Circle neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 24031702603?

Median gross rent is $2,233/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 24031702603?

12.1% of residents in tract 24031702603 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,191.

How socially vulnerable is tract 24031702603?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 32th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 24th, household 7th, minority 70th, housing 69th.

Is tract 24031702603 considered part of Blair Circle?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031702603 fall within Blair Circle (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 24031702603 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 24031702603 compare to Silver Spring overall?

Tract 24031702603 scores 4.1/10, lower than the parent city of Silver Spring at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Silver Spring eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Silver Spring

Top eight tracts in Silver Spring ranked by composite eviction-risk score.