Neighborhood · Ranked #10,320 of 84,120 nationally

Blair Circle Eviction Risk: Elevated , Silver Spring

Tract 24031702603 · Montgomery County, MD · pop 2,191 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Census tract 24031702603 covers part of the Blair Circle area of Silver Spring, MD, and scores 7.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,191 residents. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.8/10.

Risk score

7.5

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 35% Stable renters 59% Owners 6%

Tract context

Occupied units1,092

Renter share94.0%

SVI overall0.32

Poverty rate12.1%

Median income$115,147

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Silver Spring and the region

Centroid at 38.9907, -77.0314 · click any tract to drill in

Why Blair Circle scores 7.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Silver Spring

7.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.0

State political climate

Maryland legislature & governorship

5.7

Economic stress

12.1% poverty · this tract

3.0

Supply constraint

$2,233 rent vs county FMR

4.7

Rent control risk

Inherited from Silver Spring

6.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Silver Spring

6.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Silver Spring

6.5

How Blair Circle compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 32

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

24%Socioeconomic
7%Household composition
70%Racial/ethnic minority
69%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Blair Circle. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

11.4%Housing insecurity
6.9%Utility-shutoff threat
11.2%Food insecurity
8.0%SNAP enrollment
6.5%Transit barriers
6.8%No health insurance
14.0%Frequent mental distress
18.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Blair Circle

94% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. 20% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Against Montgomery County at 46.7%, 38% of renters here are cost-burdened. Running hot, regional political climate reads 8/10. Against the Montgomery County average of 6.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.5 points.

Disability prevalence runs 18.1% against 31.5% nationally. At $2,233 a month, rents run 17% over what the rest of Silver Spring commands. On the high side, local political climate reads 7/10.

SNAP participation runs 8.0% against 15.2% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 88% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 3.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 2.0 points hotter.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 24031702603

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031702603?

Census tract 24031702603 in the Blair Circle neighborhood scores 7.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 24031702603?

Median gross rent is $2,233/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 24031702603?

12.1% of residents in tract 24031702603 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,191.

How socially vulnerable is tract 24031702603?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 32th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 24th, household 7th, minority 70th, housing 69th.

Is tract 24031702603 considered part of Blair Circle?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031702603 fall within Blair Circle (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 24031702603 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 24031702603 compare to Silver Spring overall?

Tract 24031702603 scores 7.5/10, higher than the parent city of Silver Spring at 7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Silver Spring eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Silver Spring

Top eight tracts in Silver Spring ranked by composite eviction-risk score.