Neighborhood · Silver Spring, MD

Blair Circle Eviction Risk: Moderate

3 census tracts · pop 8,777 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4/10 · range 3.7–4.3

Blair Circle is a black-white neighborhood in Silver Spring with 3 census tracts and a population of 8,777 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 36% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 14% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $2,158/month sits 13% higher than the Silver Spring citywide average ($1,913).

Risk score

Moderate

3 tracts · population-weighted

Blair Circle vs Silver Spring How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

35.8% +15%

Silver Spring: 31.2%

Average gross rent

$2,158 +13%

Silver Spring: $1,913

Average HH income

$107,268 +8%

Silver Spring: $98,880

Poverty rate

8.5% -12%

Silver Spring: 9.7%

Renter share

89.2% +45%

Silver Spring: 61.7%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Blair Circle and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 3.7–4.3

Why Blair Circle scores 4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts

5.7

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts

8.0

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts

7.0

Rent control risk

36% of income on rent · Range 6.0–6.0 across tracts

6.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts

6.5

Tenant organizing strength

89% renter households · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts

6.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts

6.5

Economic stress

8.5% below poverty line · Range 1.3–3.0 across tracts

2.1

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.0–4.7 across tracts

4.3

Risk score comparison

Blair Circle vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Blair Circle?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 0.6 points from 3.7 to 4.3. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.

Tracts as heat grid

4.3 4.1 3.7

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

3 tracts in Blair Circle

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
24031702604	4.3	2,867	33%	$2,071
24031702603	4.1	2,191	38%	$2,233
24031702501	3.7	3,719	37%	$2,182

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 31

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 26%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 2%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 74%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 75%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Blair Circle

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

10.9%Housing insecurity
6.4%Utility shutoff threat
10.3%Food insecurity
7.1%SNAP enrollment
6.4%No health insurance
16.8%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Blair Circle

What is the eviction-risk score for Blair Circle?

Blair Circle scores 4/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Blair Circle compare to Silver Spring overall?

Blair Circle scores 2.5 points lower than Silver Spring overall (6.5/10). Renters spend 36% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $2,158 vs $1,913.

What is the average rent in Blair Circle?

Average gross rent in Blair Circle is $2,158/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Blair Circle residents are renters?

89% of Blair Circle households are renter-occupied (vs 62% in Silver Spring). The neighborhood has 8,777 residents.

Is Blair Circle a high social-vulnerability area?

Blair Circle sits in the 31st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Blair Circle have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Blair Circle is census tract 24031702604 (score 4.3/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.7 to 4.3, a spread of 0.6 points.

How safe is Blair Circle for landlords?

Blair Circle carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Silver Spring as a whole (6.5/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Blair Circle?

Blair Circle has 9,001 residents (Black-White Neighborhood). Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (36.8%), White (non-Hispanic) (36.5%), Hispanic / Latino (10.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Blair Circle

4.4 Queen Annes 2 tracts · pop 8,503 5.8 Kilmarock 2 tracts · pop 5,890 4.7 Carroll Manor 2 tracts · pop 6,373 1.8 Northwood Park 2 tracts · pop 8,348 1.8 Downtown Bethesda 2 tracts · pop 4,669 2.9 Brookdale 2 tracts · pop 6,301

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Silver Spring

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Blair Circle.

4.1 Rosemary Hills 1 tracts · pop 5,443 3.9 Seven Oaks 1 tracts · pop 4,398 4.3 Queen Annes 2 tracts · pop 8,503 3.6 Lyttonsville 1 tracts · pop 7,388 4.5 Shepherd Park 1 tracts · pop 1,565 4.7 Goodacre Knolls 1 tracts · pop 3,627

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