Neighborhood · Ranked #9,433 of 84,120 nationally

Blair Circle Eviction Risk: Elevated , Silver Spring

Tract 24031702604 · Montgomery County, MD · pop 2,867 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

With a score of 7.7/10, tract 24031702604 in the Blair Circle area of Silver Spring, MD reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,867 residents. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.8/10.

Risk score

7.7

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 33% Stable renters 67% Owners 0%

Tract context

Occupied units1,784

Renter share100.0%

SVI overall0.25

Poverty rate10.0%

Median income$98,452

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Silver Spring and the region

Centroid at 38.9940, -77.0349 · click any tract to drill in

Why Blair Circle scores 7.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Silver Spring

7.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.0

State political climate

Maryland legislature & governorship

5.7

Economic stress

10.0% poverty · this tract

2.5

Supply constraint

$2,071 rent vs county FMR

4.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Silver Spring

6.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Silver Spring

6.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Silver Spring

6.5

How Blair Circle compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 25

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

42%Socioeconomic
1%Household composition
78%Racial/ethnic minority
48%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Blair Circle. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

12.3%Housing insecurity
7.0%Utility-shutoff threat
12.4%Food insecurity
8.6%SNAP enrollment
6.9%Transit barriers
7.9%No health insurance
14.9%Frequent mental distress
18.6%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Blair Circle

This is renter territory: 100% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. 33% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Montgomery County average of 46.7%. It sits 1.7 points above the Montgomery County average of 6.0.

Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 8/10. Disability prevalence runs 18.6% against 31.5% nationally. Severe burden reaches 14%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.5/10. At $2,071 a month, rents run 8% over what the rest of Silver Spring commands. Nationally it ranks #9,433 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.3/10. Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 2.2 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $98,452.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 24031702604

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031702604?

Census tract 24031702604 in the Blair Circle neighborhood scores 7.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 24031702604?

Median gross rent is $2,071/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 24031702604?

10.0% of residents in tract 24031702604 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,867.

How socially vulnerable is tract 24031702604?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 42th, household 1th, minority 78th, housing 48th.

Is tract 24031702604 considered part of Blair Circle?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031702604 fall within Blair Circle (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 24031702604 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 24031702604 compare to Silver Spring overall?

Tract 24031702604 scores 7.7/10, higher than the parent city of Silver Spring at 7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Silver Spring eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Silver Spring

Top eight tracts in Silver Spring ranked by composite eviction-risk score.