Neighborhood · Ranked #63,481 of 84,120 nationally

Aspen Knolls Eviction Risk: Lower , Aspen Hill

Tract 24031703201 · Montgomery County, MD · pop 8,194 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

With a score of 7.2/10, tract 24031703201 in the Aspen Knolls neighborhood of Aspen Hill ranks in the Elevated tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 8,194 residents. On the national scale it ranks #2,776 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

41% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $3,360 monthly, set against $184,808 in average yearly household income, roughly 22% of income at the averages. About 16% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

2.7

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 9% Owners 84%

Tract context

Occupied units2,250

Renter share16.1%

SVI overall0.22

Poverty rate7.1%

Median income$184,808

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Aspen Hill and the region

Centroid at 39.0808, -77.0925 · click any tract to drill in

Why Aspen Knolls scores 2.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Aspen Hill

8.2

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.0

State political climate

Maryland legislature & governorship

5.7

Economic stress

7.1% poverty · this tract

1.8

Supply constraint

$3,360 rent vs county FMR

9.5

Rent control risk

Inherited from Aspen Hill

8.4

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Aspen Hill

7.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Aspen Hill

6.5

How Aspen Knolls compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 22

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

26%Socioeconomic
18%Household composition
62%Racial/ethnic minority
22%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

10.7%Housing insecurity
5.6%Utility-shutoff threat
12.6%Food insecurity
7.5%SNAP enrollment
6.1%Transit barriers
10.9%No health insurance
12.2%Frequent mental distress
23.4%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Aspen Knolls

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 9.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Aspen Hill eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Montgomery County average of 6.7 and above the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 10.7% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 22nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 24031703201

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031703201?

Census tract 24031703201 in the Aspen Knolls neighborhood scores 2.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 24031703201?

Median gross rent is $3,360/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 24031703201?

7.1% of residents in tract 24031703201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,194.

How socially vulnerable is tract 24031703201?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 22th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 26th, household 18th, minority 62th, housing 22th.

Is tract 24031703201 considered part of Aspen Knolls?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031703201 fall within Aspen Knolls (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 24031703201 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 24031703201 compare to Aspen Hill overall?

Tract 24031703201 scores 2.7/10, lower than the parent city of Aspen Hill at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Aspen Hill eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Aspen Hill

Top eight tracts in Aspen Hill ranked by composite eviction-risk score.