Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #34,332 of 84,120 nationally
Chestnut Ridge Eviction Risk: Moderate , Wheaton
Tract 24031703209 · Montgomery County, MD · pop 6,218 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 24031703209 sits in the Chestnut Ridge neighborhood of Wheaton eviction risk, Maryland eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of $1/10. It lands near the 95th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 41% of renter households, a severe level, and 20% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,215 a month against an average household income of $83,284 a year, roughly 32% of income at the averages. Renters make up 35% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 21%
Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units2,499
Renter share35.1%
SVI overall0.81
Poverty rate12.7%
Median income$83,284
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
89
th percentile
High
Within county
87
th percentile
High
Within state
70
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Wheaton and the region
Centroid at 39.0389, -77.0340 · click any tract to drill in
Why Chestnut Ridge scores 4.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Wheaton
8.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
12.7% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$2,215 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Wheaton
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Wheaton
7.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Wheaton
6.1
How Chestnut Ridge compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 81
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 68%Socioeconomic
- 89%Household composition
- 80%Racial/ethnic minority
- 72%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.4%Housing insecurity
- 7.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.1%Food insecurity
- 10.6%SNAP enrollment
- 7.7%Transit barriers
- 10.2%No health insurance
- 13.1%Frequent mental distress
- 23.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Chestnut Ridge
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 7.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Wheaton eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Montgomery County average of 6.7 and above the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 81st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
In CDC survey modeling, about 13.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 24031703209
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031703209?
Census tract 24031703209 in the Chestnut Ridge neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24031703209?
Median gross rent is $2,215/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24031703209?
12.7% of residents in tract 24031703209 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,218.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24031703209?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 89th, minority 80th, housing 72th.
Q5
Is tract 24031703209 considered part of Chestnut Ridge?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031703209 fall within Chestnut Ridge (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24031703209 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24031703209 compare to Wheaton overall?
Tract 24031703209 scores 4.4/10, lower than the parent city of Wheaton at 6.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Wheaton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Wheaton
Top eight tracts in Wheaton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MD
Kensington View
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MD
Glemont Forest
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MD
Glemont Forest
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · MD
Glen Haven
3.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MD
Holiday Park
3.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MD
Wheaton Crest
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MD
Connecticut Avenue Park
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MD
Glenallen
3.5
/ 10 · Low
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