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Neighborhood · Wheaton, MD

Chestnut Ridge Eviction Risk: Elevated

1 census tracts · pop 6,218 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.9/10 · range 7.9–7.9

Chestnut Ridge maps to a single census tract in Wheaton, MD, population 6,218. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 7.9/10, Elevated tier. 41% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well above the Wheaton rate of 29.1%.

The severe-burden share is 20%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 7.3/10. Among the 8 mapped neighborhoods of Wheaton, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third.

For a like-for-like read, Kensington View and Glemont Forest score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.3/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Average gross rent runs $2,215, close to the Wheaton average.

Annual rent works out to 32% of average household income of $83,284. 35% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 7.9/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
7.9
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
Chestnut Ridge vs Wheaton How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
41.3% +42%
Wheaton: 29.1%
Average gross rent
$2,215 +2%
Wheaton: $2,163
Average HH income
$83,284 -22%
Wheaton: $107,349
Poverty rate
12.7% +20%
Wheaton: 10.6%
Renter share
35.1% -1%
Wheaton: 35.4%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Chestnut Ridge and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 7.9–7.9

Why Chestnut Ridge scores 7.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.7–5.7 across tracts
5.7
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.2–8.2 across tracts
8.2
Rent control risk
41% of income on rent · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts
5.3
Tenant organizing strength
35% renter households · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Economic stress
12.7% below poverty line · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts
3.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.6–4.6 across tracts
4.6
Risk score comparison

Chestnut Ridge vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Chestnut Ridge score vs. parent city, state, U.S.7.9Chestnut RidgeNeighborhood6.5Parent cityhost city5.5Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Chestnut Ridge

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
24031703209 7.9 6,218 41% $2,215
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 81

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 68%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 89%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 80%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 72%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Chestnut Ridge

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Chestnut Ridge

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Chestnut Ridge?

Chestnut Ridge scores 7.9/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Chestnut Ridge compare to Wheaton overall?

Chestnut Ridge scores 1.4 points higher than Wheaton overall (6.5/10). Renters spend 41% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $2,215 vs $2,163.
Q3

What is the average rent in Chestnut Ridge?

Average gross rent in Chestnut Ridge is $2,215/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Chestnut Ridge residents are renters?

35% of Chestnut Ridge households are renter-occupied (vs 35% in Wheaton). The neighborhood has 6,218 residents.
Q5

Is Chestnut Ridge a high social-vulnerability area?

Chestnut Ridge sits in the 81st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Chestnut Ridge for landlords?

Chestnut Ridge carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.9/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Wheaton as a whole (6.5/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Chestnut Ridge?

Chestnut Ridge has 5,921 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (31.8%), Black (non-Hispanic) (25.5%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (19.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Chestnut Ridge

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Wheaton

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Chestnut Ridge.

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