Manor Park Eviction Risk: Elevated , Leisure World
Tract 24031703216 ·
Montgomery County, MD · pop 3,701 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
24031703216 is a census tract in the Manor Park area of Leisure World, MD. It scores 7.9/10 for landlords. Against Montgomery County at 46.7%, 26% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
7.9
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%Stable renters 10%Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units2,231
Renter share14.1%
SVI overall0.67
Poverty rate5.5%
Median income$41,908
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100th percentile
#1 of 3 tracts In Manor Park
Very High
Within parent city
50th percentile
#2 of 3 tracts In Leisure World
Moderate
Within county
87th percentile
#30 of 232 tracts In Montgomery County
High
Within state
93th percentile
#105 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Leisure World and the region
Centroid at 39.0978, -77.0690 · click any tract to drill in
Why Manor Park scores 7.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Leisure World
8.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
5.5% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,422 rent vs county FMR
1.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Leisure World
9.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Leisure World
4.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Leisure World
6.9
How Manor Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 67
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
65%Socioeconomic
73%Household composition
71%Racial/ethnic minority
46%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Manor Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
10.6%Housing insecurity
7.3%Utility-shutoff threat
15.7%Food insecurity
13.6%SNAP enrollment
7.4%Transit barriers
10.1%No health insurance
10.7%Frequent mental distress
38.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Manor Park
The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.8/10. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 9.6/10. Set annual rent against average income of $41,908 and the ratio lands at 41%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
At $1,422 a month, rents run 31% under what the rest of Leisure World commands. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.1/10.
It sits 1.9 points above the Montgomery County average of 6.0. Severe burden reaches 17%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. That is riskier than roughly 90% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Only 14% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7/10.
Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 2.4 points hotter. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 24031703216
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031703216?
Census tract 24031703216 in the Manor Park neighborhood scores 7.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24031703216?
Median gross rent is $1,422/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 26% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24031703216?
5.5% of residents in tract 24031703216 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,701.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24031703216?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 67th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 73th, minority 71th, housing 46th.
Q5
Is tract 24031703216 considered part of Manor Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031703216 fall within Manor Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24031703216 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24031703216 compare to Leisure World overall?
Tract 24031703216 scores 7.9/10, higher than the parent city of Leisure World at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Leisure World; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Leisure World
Top eight tracts in Leisure World ranked by composite eviction-risk score.