Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #11,153 of 84,120 nationally
Manor Park Eviction Risk: Elevated , Leisure World
Tract 24031703218 · Montgomery County, MD · pop 1,922 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Census tract 24031703218 covers part of the Manor Park area of Leisure World, MD, and scores 7.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 54%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
7.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 6%
Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units1,470
Renter share21.1%
SVI overall0.52
Poverty rate6.7%
Median income$80,111
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
78
th percentile
High
Within state
85
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Leisure World and the region
Centroid at 39.1072, -77.0710 · click any tract to drill in
Why Manor Park scores 7.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Leisure World
8.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
6.7% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Leisure World
9.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Leisure World
4.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Leisure World
6.9
How Manor Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 52
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 36%Socioeconomic
- 62%Household composition
- 43%Racial/ethnic minority
- 66%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Manor Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 3.2%Housing insecurity
- 2.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.7%Food insecurity
- 3.9%SNAP enrollment
- 3.0%Transit barriers
- 5.3%No health insurance
- 6.6%Frequent mental distress
- 38.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Manor Park
Against Montgomery County at 46.7%, 72% of renters here are cost-burdened. The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 10/10.
Set annual rent against average income of $80,111 and the ratio lands at 52%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Average gross rent is $3,501, 70% above the Leisure World average.
The voucher gap is 51.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 9.8/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 9.6/10. Food insecurity runs 5.7% against 17.8% nationally. Against the Montgomery County average of 6.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points.
SNAP participation runs 3.9% against 15.2% nationally. Nationally it ranks #11,153 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 21% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 24031703218
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031703218?
Census tract 24031703218 in the Manor Park neighborhood scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24031703218?
Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 72% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24031703218?
6.7% of residents in tract 24031703218 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,922.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24031703218?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 52th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 62th, minority 43th, housing 66th.
Q5
Is tract 24031703218 considered part of Manor Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031703218 fall within Manor Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24031703218 struggle to pay rent?
About 3.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24031703218 compare to Leisure World overall?
Tract 24031703218 scores 7.3/10, higher than the parent city of Leisure World at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Leisure World; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Leisure World
Top eight tracts in Leisure World ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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