Neighborhood · Ranked #21,564 of 84,120 nationally
Allanwood Eviction Risk: Moderate , Aspen Hill
Tract 24031703221 ·
Montgomery County, MD · pop 5,083 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
24031703221 is a census tract in the Allanwood area of Aspen Hill, MD. It scores 5.7/10 for landlords. It is home to 5,083 residents. Against Montgomery County at 46.7%, about a quarter of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%Stable renters 10%Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units1,628
Renter share12.8%
SVI overall0.22
Poverty rate2.7%
Median income$140,714
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Allanwood
Moderate
Within parent city
11th percentile
#9 of 10 tracts In Aspen Hill
Very Low
Within county
44th percentile
#130 of 232 tracts In Montgomery County
Moderate
Within state
58th percentile
#622 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Aspen Hill and the region
Centroid at 39.1090, -77.0470 · click any tract to drill in
Why Allanwood scores 5.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Aspen Hill
8.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
2.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,368 rent vs county FMR
5.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Aspen Hill
8.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Aspen Hill
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Aspen Hill
6.5
How Allanwood compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 22
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
19%Socioeconomic
43%Household composition
78%Racial/ethnic minority
13%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
11.3%Housing insecurity
6.4%Utility-shutoff threat
12.3%Food insecurity
8.0%SNAP enrollment
6.2%Transit barriers
7.8%No health insurance
12.4%Frequent mental distress
21.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Allanwood
The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.8/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.4/10.
Average gross rent is $2,368, 24% above the Aspen Hill average. Severe burden reaches 10%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
SNAP participation runs 8.0% against 15.2% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 74% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
At 13% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 2.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the Montgomery County average of 6.0 closely.
Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $140,714.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 24031703221
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031703221?
Census tract 24031703221 in the Allanwood neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24031703221?
Median gross rent is $2,368/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 24% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24031703221?
2.7% of residents in tract 24031703221 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,083.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24031703221?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 22th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 19th, household 43th, minority 78th, housing 13th.
Q5
Is tract 24031703221 considered part of Allanwood?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031703221 fall within Allanwood (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24031703221 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24031703221 compare to Aspen Hill overall?
Tract 24031703221 scores 5.7/10, lower than the parent city of Aspen Hill at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Aspen Hill eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Aspen Hill
Top eight tracts in Aspen Hill ranked by composite eviction-risk score.