Neighborhood · Ranked #16,032 of 84,120 nationally
Wheaton Woods Eviction Risk: Elevated , Aspen Hill
Tract 24031703302 ·
Montgomery County, MD · pop 4,669 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Tract 24031703302 sits in the Wheaton eviction risk Woods area of Aspen Hill eviction risk, MD, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.4/10. Severe burden reaches 49%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
6.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%Stable renters 9%Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units1,338
Renter share21.3%
SVI overall0.67
Poverty rate4.4%
Median income$111,419
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Wheaton Woods
Moderate
Within parent city
56th percentile
#5 of 10 tracts In Aspen Hill
Elevated
Within county
60th percentile
#93 of 232 tracts In Montgomery County
Elevated
Within state
71th percentile
#425 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Aspen Hill and the region
Centroid at 39.0737, -77.0819 · click any tract to drill in
Why Wheaton Woods scores 6.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Aspen Hill
8.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
4.4% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$3,176 rent vs county FMR
8.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Aspen Hill
8.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Aspen Hill
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Aspen Hill
6.5
How Wheaton Woods compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 67
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
74%Socioeconomic
46%Household composition
87%Racial/ethnic minority
47%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
19.8%Housing insecurity
10.1%Utility-shutoff threat
24.9%Food insecurity
16.4%SNAP enrollment
10.8%Transit barriers
21.1%No health insurance
14.7%Frequent mental distress
29.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Wheaton Woods
Average gross rent is $3,176, 66% above the Aspen Hill average. The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.8/10.
The voucher gap is 37.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.1/10.
Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income of $111,419, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Cost burden runs 57% here against 46.7% across Montgomery County. Running hot, supply constraint reads 8.7/10.
Adults with no health insurance runs 21.1% against 11.3% nationally. Food insecurity runs 24.9% against 17.8% nationally.
That is riskier than roughly 81% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 21% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 24031703302
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031703302?
Census tract 24031703302 in the Wheaton Woods neighborhood scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24031703302?
Median gross rent is $3,176/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24031703302?
4.4% of residents in tract 24031703302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,669.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24031703302?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 67th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 46th, minority 87th, housing 47th.
Q5
Is tract 24031703302 considered part of Wheaton Woods?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031703302 fall within Wheaton Woods (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24031703302 struggle to pay rent?
About 19.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24031703302 compare to Aspen Hill overall?
Tract 24031703302 scores 6.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Aspen Hill at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Aspen Hill eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Aspen Hill
Top eight tracts in Aspen Hill ranked by composite eviction-risk score.