Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #77,226 of 84,120 nationally
South Bethesda Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 24031704803 · Montgomery County, MD · pop 3,991 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
The South Bethesda area of Bethesda is where census tract 24031704803 sits, home to 3,991 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 6.8/10. On the national scale it ranks #6,810 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 51% of renter households, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,930 a month against an average household income of $121,375 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. About 65% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
1.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33%
Stable renters 32%
Owners 35%
Tract context
Occupied units2,382
Renter share65.1%
SVI overall0.46
Poverty rate4.0%
Median income$121,375
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
71
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
30
th percentile
Low
Within state
22
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bethesda and the region
Centroid at 38.9779, -77.0964 · click any tract to drill in
Why South Bethesda scores 1.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bethesda
8.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
4.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,930 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bethesda
5.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bethesda
7.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bethesda
4.2
How South Bethesda compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 46
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 40%Socioeconomic
- 27%Household composition
- 52%Racial/ethnic minority
- 65%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.4%Housing insecurity
- 4.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.3%Food insecurity
- 4.6%SNAP enrollment
- 4.5%Transit barriers
- 5.5%No health insurance
- 12.2%Frequent mental distress
- 17.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in South Bethesda
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 7.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bethesda eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Montgomery County average of 6.7 and in line with the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 46th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
In CDC survey modeling, about 7.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 24031704803
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031704803?
Census tract 24031704803 in the South Bethesda neighborhood scores 1.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24031704803?
Median gross rent is $1,930/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24031704803?
4.0% of residents in tract 24031704803 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,991.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24031704803?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 46th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 40th, household 27th, minority 52th, housing 65th.
Q5
Is tract 24031704803 considered part of South Bethesda?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031704803 fall within South Bethesda (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24031704803 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24031704803 compare to Bethesda overall?
Tract 24031704803 scores 1.7/10, lower than the parent city of Bethesda at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bethesda eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bethesda
Top eight tracts in Bethesda ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · MD
Woodmont Triangle
2.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MD
Alta Vista
2.2
/ 10 · Low
Tract · MD
Brookdale
1.8
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · MD
Kenwood
1.8
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · MD
Downtown Bethesda
1.8
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · MD
Green Tree Manor
1.7
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · MD
Downtown Bethesda
1.7
/ 10 · Very Low
Tract · MD
Westgate
1.5
/ 10 · Very Low
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