Westgate Eviction Risk: Moderate , Bethesda

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 10/10. The voucher gap is 51.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Average gross rent is $3,501, 42% above the Bethesda average.

On the high side, court filing pressure reads 9.8/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10.

Disability prevalence runs 16.7% against 31.5% nationally. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 2.9% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

That is riskier than roughly 72% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 4% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $250,001, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.