Tract 24031705902 ·
Montgomery County, MD · pop 4,295 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Census tract 24031705902 covers part of the Bannockburn Heights area of Bethesda, MD, and scores 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 45%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%Stable renters 4%Owners 87%
Tract context
Occupied units1,426
Renter share12.9%
SVI overall0.10
Poverty rate1.8%
Median income$250,001
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Bannockburn Heights
Moderate
Within parent city
12th percentile
#16 of 18 tracts In Bethesda
Very Low
Within county
32th percentile
#158 of 232 tracts In Montgomery County
Low
Within state
52th percentile
#700 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bethesda and the region
Centroid at 38.9799, -77.1411 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bannockburn Heights scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bethesda
8.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
1.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bethesda
5.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bethesda
7.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bethesda
4.2
How Bannockburn Heights compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 10
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
1%Socioeconomic
52%Household composition
56%Racial/ethnic minority
13%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
4.3%Housing insecurity
2.6%Utility-shutoff threat
4.3%Food insecurity
2.3%SNAP enrollment
2.8%Transit barriers
3.6%No health insurance
9.3%Frequent mental distress
17.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bannockburn Heights
Cost burden runs 67% here against 46.7% across Montgomery County. The dominant input is supply constraint at 10/10.
The voucher gap is 51.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. At $3,501 a month, rents run 42% over what the rest of Bethesda commands. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 9.8/10.
On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10. Disability prevalence runs 17.3% against 31.5% nationally. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 2.6% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 13% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
Social vulnerability reads 1.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $250,001, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 24031705902
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24031705902?
Census tract 24031705902 in the Bannockburn Heights neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24031705902?
Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 67% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24031705902?
1.8% of residents in tract 24031705902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,295.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24031705902?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 10th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 1th, household 52th, minority 56th, housing 13th.
Q5
Is tract 24031705902 considered part of Bannockburn Heights?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24031705902 fall within Bannockburn Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 24031705902 struggle to pay rent?
About 4.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 24031705902 compare to Bethesda overall?
Tract 24031705902 scores 5.4/10, lower than the parent city of Bethesda at 6.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bethesda eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bethesda
Top eight tracts in Bethesda ranked by composite eviction-risk score.