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Neighborhood · Ranked #26,446 of 84,120 nationally

Forest Manor Eviction Risk: Moderate , Forestville

Tract 24033801906 · Prince George's County, MD · pop 1,785 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Eviction risk in the Forest Manor neighborhood of Forestville centers on tract 24033801906, which scores 6.8/10 (Elevated tier) and is home to 1,785 residents. That is riskier than roughly 92% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 41% of renter households, a severe level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,793 a month against an average household income of $77,296 a year, roughly 28% of income at the averages. Renters make up 49% of occupied homes.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 29% Owners 51%
Tract context
Occupied units786
Renter share49.1%
SVI overall0.57
Poverty rate11.4%
Median income$77,296

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Forest Manor
Moderate
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Forestville
Moderate
Within county
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#58 of 214 tracts In Prince George's County
Elevated
Within state
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#362 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Forestville and the region

Centroid at 38.8302, -76.8883 · click any tract to drill in

Why Forest Manor scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Forestville
9.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
9.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
11.4% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$1,793 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Forestville
5.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Forestville
4.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Forestville
6.5

How Forest Manor compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Forest Manor risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.94.9This tracttract 801906Forestville: 6.56.5Forestvilleparent cityCounty: 3.53.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 57

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 4,417Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 394.93%Avg annual filing rate
  • 484.2%Peak (2012)
  • 1,250Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2011 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 240338019062011: 1,254 filings (473.21/100 renter HHs)2012: 1,283 filings (484.15/100 renter HHs)2014: 630 filings (237.74/100 renter HHs)2016: 1,250 filings (384.62/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Forest Manor. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Forest Manor

What moves this score most is housing court bias at 6.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Forestville, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Prince George's County average of 6.9 and in line with the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 4,417 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 394.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 484.2% of renter households in 2012.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 57th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 24033801906

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24033801906?

Census tract 24033801906 in the Forest Manor neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 24033801906?

Median gross rent is $1,793/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 24033801906?

11.4% of residents in tract 24033801906 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,785.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 24033801906?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 57th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 53th, household 58th, minority 89th, housing 38th.
Q5

Is tract 24033801906 considered part of Forest Manor?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24033801906 fall within Forest Manor (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 24033801906?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 4,417 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 24033801906 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 394.93% of renter households, peaking at 484.2% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 24033801906 struggle to pay rent?

About 22.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 24033801906 compare to Forestville overall?

Tract 24033801906 scores 4.9/10, lower than the parent city of Forestville at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Forestville; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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