Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #15,451 of 84,120 nationally
Forest Manor Eviction Risk: Elevated , Forestville
Tract 24033801906 · Prince George's County, MD · pop 1,785 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Census tract 24033801906 covers part of the Forest Manor area of Morningside, MD, and scores 6.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 1,785. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 10/10.
Risk score
6.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 29%
Owners 51%
Tract context
Occupied units786
Renter share49.1%
SVI overall0.57
Poverty rate11.4%
Median income$77,296
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
77
th percentile
High
Within state
73
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Forestville and the region
Centroid at 38.8302, -76.8883 · click any tract to drill in
Why Forest Manor scores 6.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Forestville
9.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
9.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
11.4% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$1,793 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Forestville
5.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Forestville
4.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Forestville
6.5
How Forest Manor compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 57
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 53%Socioeconomic
- 58%Household composition
- 89%Racial/ethnic minority
- 38%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 4,417Total filings over 4 yrs
- 394.93%Avg annual filing rate
- 484.2%Peak (2012)
- 1,250Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Forest Manor. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 22.2%Housing insecurity
- 13.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 24.7%Food insecurity
- 18.3%SNAP enrollment
- 11.5%Transit barriers
- 12.9%No health insurance
- 15.8%Frequent mental distress
- 27.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Forest Manor
Running hot, local political climate reads 9.1/10. 25% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 9/10.
Average gross rent is $1,793, 27% below the Morningside average. It sits 1.6 points above the Prince George's County average of 4.9.
The filing record is not thin: 4,417 evictions over 4 years of observation. Against Prince George's County at 45.6%, 41% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Housing insecurity runs 22.2% against 14.2% nationally. Filings peaked in 2012 at 484.2% of renter households. In a typical year about 394.9% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 82% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 6.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter. Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $77,296.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 24033801906
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24033801906?
Census tract 24033801906 in the Forest Manor neighborhood scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24033801906?
Median gross rent is $1,793/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24033801906?
11.4% of residents in tract 24033801906 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,785.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24033801906?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 57th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 53th, household 58th, minority 89th, housing 38th.
Q5
Is tract 24033801906 considered part of Forest Manor?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24033801906 fall within Forest Manor (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 24033801906?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 4,417 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 24033801906 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 394.93% of renter households, peaking at 484.2% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 24033801906 struggle to pay rent?
About 22.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 24033801906 compare to Forestville overall?
Tract 24033801906 scores 6.5/10, higher than the parent city of Forestville at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Forestville; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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