Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #13,119 of 84,120 nationally
Forest Manor Eviction Risk: Moderate , Forestville
Tract 24033802106 · Prince George's County, MD · pop 5,495 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Forest Manor in Forestville is where census tract 24033802106 sits, home to 5,495 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 7.7/10. That puts it among the highest-scoring tracts in the entire country, the top 1% nationally for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 61% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 31% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,701 a month against an average household income of $68,839 a year, roughly 30% of income at the averages. Renters make up 66% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 35%
Tract context
Occupied units1,863
Renter share65.7%
SVI overall0.76
Poverty rate17.7%
Median income$68,839
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
91
th percentile
Very High
Within state
85
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Forestville and the region
Centroid at 38.8404, -76.8948 · click any tract to drill in
Why Forest Manor scores 5.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Forestville
9.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
9.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
17.7% poverty · this tract
4.4
Supply constraint
$1,701 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Forestville
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Forestville
9.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Forestville
6.8
How Forest Manor compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 76
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 66%Socioeconomic
- 74%Household composition
- 99%Racial/ethnic minority
- 63%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 15,394Total filings over 4 yrs
- 413.01%Avg annual filing rate
- 486.5%Peak (2014)
- 3,554Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Forest Manor. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 27.8%Housing insecurity
- 17.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 30.7%Food insecurity
- 24.5%SNAP enrollment
- 14.3%Transit barriers
- 12.1%No health insurance
- 18.2%Frequent mental distress
- 29.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Forest Manor
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Forestville, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Prince George's County average of 6.9 and above the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 15,394 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 413.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 486.5% of renter households in 2014.
The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 76th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 24033802106
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24033802106?
Census tract 24033802106 in the Forest Manor neighborhood scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24033802106?
Median gross rent is $1,701/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24033802106?
17.7% of residents in tract 24033802106 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,495.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24033802106?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 74th, minority 99th, housing 63th.
Q5
Is tract 24033802106 considered part of Forest Manor?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24033802106 fall within Forest Manor (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 24033802106?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 15,394 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 24033802106 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 413.01% of renter households, peaking at 486.5% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 24033802106 struggle to pay rent?
About 27.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 24033802106 compare to Forestville overall?
Tract 24033802106 scores 5.9/10, lower than the parent city of Forestville at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Forestville; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Forestville
Top eight tracts in Forestville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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