Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Forest Manor Eviction Risk: Moderate , Forestville
Tract 24033802104 · Prince George's County, MD · pop 2,021 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
24033802104 is a census tract in the Forest Manor area of Forestville, MD. It scores 5.4/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,021 residents. The severe-burden share is 48%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 46%
Tract context
Occupied units967
Renter share54.1%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate13.2%
Median income$59,293
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
63
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
52
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Forestville and the region
Centroid at 38.8374, -76.8792 · click any tract to drill in
Why Forest Manor scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Forestville
9.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
9.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
13.2% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$1,435 rent vs county FMR
1.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Forestville
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Forestville
7.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Forestville
6.6
How Forest Manor compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 83
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 78%Socioeconomic
- 95%Household composition
- 95%Racial/ethnic minority
- 41%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,689Total filings over 4 yrs
- 100.28%Avg annual filing rate
- 117.5%Peak (2014)
- 507Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 44% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Forest Manor. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 23.8%Housing insecurity
- 15.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 28.2%Food insecurity
- 22.8%SNAP enrollment
- 13.0%Transit barriers
- 12.2%No health insurance
- 15.7%Frequent mental distress
- 31.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Forest Manor
What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 10/10. Cost burden runs 62% here against 45.6% across Prince George's County.
Running hot, local political climate reads 9.1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 9/10.
Food insecurity runs 28.2% against 17.8% nationally. Housing insecurity runs 23.8% against 14.2% nationally.
Average gross rent is $1,435, 17% below the Forestville average. Court records carry 1,689 eviction filings across 4 observed years. Filings peaked in 2014 at 117.5% of renter households.
In a typical year about 100.3% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 24033802104
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24033802104?
Census tract 24033802104 in the Forest Manor neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 24033802104?
Median gross rent is $1,435/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 24033802104?
13.2% of residents in tract 24033802104 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,021.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 24033802104?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 78th, household 95th, minority 95th, housing 41th.
Q5
Is tract 24033802104 considered part of Forest Manor?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24033802104 fall within Forest Manor (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 24033802104?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,689 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 24033802104 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 100.28% of renter households, peaking at 117.5% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 24033802104 struggle to pay rent?
About 23.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 24033802104 compare to Forestville overall?
Tract 24033802104 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Forestville at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Forestville; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Forestville
Top eight tracts in Forestville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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