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Neighborhood · Ranked #2,438 of 84,120 nationally

Oak Springs Eviction Risk: Elevated , College Park

Tract 24033807000 · Prince George's County, MD · pop 8,170 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Oak Springs in College Park is where census tract 24033807000 sits, home to 8,170 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 8.4/10. That ranks it in the top 1% of US census tracts for landlord eviction risk, among the very hardest places in the country to operate.

49% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 35% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,418 monthly, set against $58,229 in average yearly household income, roughly 29% of income at the averages. Renters make up 72% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
7.8
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 36% Stable renters 37% Owners 27%
Tract context
Occupied units3,554
Renter share72.4%
SVI overall0.68
Poverty rate34.4%
Median income$58,229

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Oak Springs
Very High
Within parent city
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 5 tracts In College Park
High
Within county
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 214 tracts In Prince George's County
Very High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#27 of 1,464 tracts In Maryland
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across College Park and the region

Centroid at 38.9977, -76.9283 · click any tract to drill in

Why Oak Springs scores 7.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from College Park
9.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
9.0
State political climate
Maryland legislature & governorship
5.7
Economic stress
34.4% poverty · this tract
8.6
Supply constraint
$1,418 rent vs county FMR
1.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from College Park
9.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from College Park
9.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from College Park
9.2

How Oak Springs compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Oak Springs risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.87.8This tracttract 807000College Park: 7.17.1College Parkparent cityCounty: 3.53.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 68

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,046Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 29.69%Avg annual filing rate
  • 46.2%Peak (2012)
  • 518Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2011 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 240338070002011: 314 filings (18.85/100 renter HHs)2012: 770 filings (46.22/100 renter HHs)2014: 444 filings (26.65/100 renter HHs)2016: 518 filings (27.05/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 65% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Oak Springs. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Oak Springs

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 9.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from College Park eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores well above the Prince George's County average of 6.9 and above the Maryland statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 2,046 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 29.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 46.2% of renter households in 2012.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 68th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord underwriting a deal here, treat timelines and legal costs as the real risk: College Park eviction risk sits in territory where contested cases drag and tenant defenses are well organized, so airtight notices and screening matter more than usual.

Frequently asked

About tract 24033807000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 24033807000?

Census tract 24033807000 in the Oak Springs neighborhood scores 7.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 24033807000?

Median gross rent is $1,418/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 24033807000?

34.4% of residents in tract 24033807000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,170.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 24033807000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 80th, household 6th, minority 78th, housing 84th.
Q5

Is tract 24033807000 considered part of Oak Springs?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 24033807000 fall within Oak Springs (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 24033807000?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,046 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 24033807000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 29.69% of renter households, peaking at 46.2% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 24033807000 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 24033807000 compare to College Park overall?

Tract 24033807000 scores 7.8/10, higher than the parent city of College Park at 7.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from College Park eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in College Park

Top eight tracts in College Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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