Oak Springs Eviction Risk: High , College Park

The severe-burden share is 35%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 10/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.7/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 9.3/10. The poverty rate is 34%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. 72% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Average gross rent is $1,418, 26% below the College Park average. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 2,046 filings here across 4 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2012 at 46.2% of renter households.

In a typical year about 29.7% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 96% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 7.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the MD average is 5.5, so this tract runs 3.7 points hotter.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.